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The Times of Israel

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The New Republic

Trump Allies Panic About Iran Ahead of His Meeting With Netanyahu

Trump Ahead Of Meet With Netanyahu I Dont Need Bibi For Intel On Pickaxe Mountain

Liz Truss

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Jake Sullivan

Dmitry Peskov

John Kirby

Daniel DePetris

Mykhailo Podolyak

Petro Poroshenko

Andrey Illarionov

Dmytro Kuleba

David Von Drehle

Oleksiy Reznikov

Sergei Shoigu

Dmitry Gorenburg

Ivan Losev

Aleksey Arestovich

Andrzej Duda

James Stavridis

Dmitry Medvedev

Jason Jay Smart

Beth Knobe

Dmitri Alperovitch

Richard Branson

When Will the Russia-Ukraine War End?

Benjamin Netanyahu

Ali Khamenei

Masoud Pezeshkian

Scott Ritter

Kelsey Davenport

Rafael Mariano Grossi

Seyed Hossein Mousavian

Polymarket

Tulsi Gabbard

Mehdi Hasan

Tamir Hayman

Kamal Kharazi

Barry R McCaffrey

Iran Watch

Hui Zhang

War Monitor

S.L. Kanthan

"No, we're not thinking about nuclear weapons."

"We have no intention of obtaining these weapons at all."

"Iran doesn't have nukes, isn't building nukes, and hasn't made the decision to build nukes."

"Iran doesn't have a bomb, and doesn't appear to be trying to make a bomb."

"They are definitely going for a nuclear weapon there is no question."

"They can have [a nuclear weapon], you know, in a matter of months, I would say."

Iran could produce a nuclear weapon "within a few months, less than a year."

Will Iran Possess a Nuclear Weapon?

Donald Trump

Elon Musk

YouGov

Lindsey Graham

Aleksandar Vucic

Patrick Sanders

MIRA Safety

Jack Keane

Jonathan Saxty

Denys Shmyhal

Tobias Ellwood

Michael C. Desch

Fyodor Lukyanov

Daily Mail

"We're on a pathway [to a third world war]."

"World War III is on its way."

"Another world war is likely to occur within the next 5-10 years."

"We're gonna have World War III."

"We are sleepwalking our way into World War III with one foolish decision after the other."

The Russia-Ukraine conflict "could lead to World War III, very easily."

Will There Be World War III?

Marco Rubio

JD Vance

Esmaeil Baghaei

John Ratcliffe

Nicholas L. Miller

Spencer Faragasso

Darya Dolzikova

Andrea Stricker

Sean Parnell

David Albright

Israel Atomic Energy Commission

"If it [the stockpile of enriched uranium] is intact and Iran is able to keep it that way, they could potentially use it in a new covert enrichment facility to produce material for several nuclear weapons in a matter of months."

"I can say to the American people with great confidence that they [Iranians] are much further away from a nuclear program today than they were 24 hours ago."

"Our nuclear installations have been badly damaged, that's for sure."

"Israel's and U.S. attacks have effectively destroyed Iran's centrifuge enrichment program."

"The American strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities, combined with Israeli strikes on other elements of Iran's military nuclear program, has set back Iran's ability to develop nuclear weapons by many years."

"Iran's key nuclear enrichment facilities have been completely and totally obliterated."

Have US Strikes Set Back Iran's Nuclear Program?

Alex Vatanka

Jeremy Bowen

Jason Brodsky

Foreign Affairs

Crisis24

Khaama Press

Nicole Grajewski

Reza Pahlavi

Dina Esfandiary

Suzanne Maloney

William Usher

Konrad Wolfenstein

“A collapse appears unlikely for now.”

"The collapse of the Iranian government remains unlikely in the near term."

"Our core assumption is that the regime will survive as long as its leaders and security forces retain the ability and willingness to suppress domestic unrest."

It's "unclear if the demonstrations would unseat the leadership, pointing to the sheer depth and resilience of Iran's repressive apparatus."

"It's going to take a few different ingredients for the regime to fall," including "defections in the security services and cracks in the Islamic republic's political elite."

"What this heralds for the Islamic Republic in the near term is neither revolution nor collapse, but rather a slow-motion metastasis that is echoing across the political establishment, the economy, and society."

"Change now looks inevitable; regime collapse is possible but not guaranteed."

"If the regime does not fall this year, it may nonetheless enter a phase of irreversible weakening—one in which future shocks could prove far more difficult to absorb."

"The regime's chances of survival have reached a critical low, and its strategy of perseverance through coercion is being tested by a population that has largely lost faith in the state's ability to govern."

"The plain fact is that the Khamenei regime’s days are numbered."

Will the Current Iranian Government Collapse?

Reuters

Steve Gutterman

Olga Oliker

Al Jazeera

Dw.Com

New Lines Institute

Foreign Policy Research Institute

Orfonline

Manifold

Lines

James Newport

Ruth Deyermond

Tatiana Stanovaya

RBC-Ukraine

"All in all, an end to the war doesn't seem to be within close range as we head into 2026."

"There will be no final settlement either now or in the foreseeable future."

"The likelihood of a durable peace agreement remains low."

"The war in Ukraine is unlikely to end in a sustainable peace in 2026."

"There is a 22% chance that there will be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027."

"There is a 27% chance that Russia and Ukraine will have a ceasefire by the end of 2026."

"There is a 29% chance that the war in Ukraine will end by the end of 2026."

"Neither Ukraine nor Russia seems to be in a position to achieve a conclusive victory on the battlefield and, though both are under significant pressure, neither appears likely to collapse."

"A peace in 2026 is unlikely to be a true resolution. More likely is an “indefinite ceasefire” akin to the Korean Peninsula’s frozen conflict."

Will Russia and Ukraine publicly agree to a cessation of hostilities lasting more than 36 hours before January 1, 2027?

Mona Yacoubian

Daniel Byman

Kalshi

J.P. Morgan

The Washington Post

Mossad Commentary

Neil Stone

Al Jazeera Centre for Studies

Victor Davis Hanson

Witold Repetowicz

Mehdi Parpanchi

Mohammed M. Hafez

Stimson Center

"Current and former U.S. officials say they see little sign, at least so far, of a mass popular uprising in Iran or of significant fissures within the government or security forces that will result in a new regime."

"There is an 11% chance that the Iranian government will lose power before 2027."

"There is an 8.9% chance that the Iranian regime will collapse and Reza Pahlavi will become head of state before January 1, 2027."

"There is an 19% chance that the Iranian regime will fall before 2027."

"Regime change is possible but unlikely."

"In any case, the Islamic Republic faces a significant challenge, and its long-term survival is not assured."

"Regime collapse or irreversible degradation is more likely than regime survival (65% likelihood)."

“The regime cannot continue that long.”

"If Trump sees it through, and I think he will, I think they're [going to] fall pretty soon, in two, three, four weeks."

"I think the regime will collapse before Iranian New Year (Nowruz), which is March 20th."

Will the Islamic Republic of Iran Experience Regime Collapse by 2027?

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky met with President Donald Trump at the White House on July 28 for a closed-press session lasting just over an hour. Zelensky said the two discussed licenses for Patriot interceptor production and efforts to revive the diplomatic process.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky met with President Donald Trump at the White House on July 28 for a closed-press session lasting just over an hour. Zelensky said the two discussed licenses for Patriot interceptor production and efforts to revive the diplomatic process.

Following the Trump-Zelensky meeting, Kyrylo Budanov, head of Ukraine's Presidential Office, said an agreement had been reached to step up the negotiation process. White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt described both the Zelensky and Netanyahu meetings as "positive and productive."

Following the Trump-Zelensky meeting, Kyrylo Budanov, head of Ukraine's Presidential Office, said an agreement had been reached to step up the negotiation process. White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt described both the Zelensky and Netanyahu meetings as "positive and productive."

Zelensky was also scheduled to attend the memorial for the late Sen. Lindsey Graham and meet with a bipartisan group of senators on proposed legislation to extend sanctions on Iran. Secretary of State Marco Rubio, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth represented the U.S. at the Zelensky meeting.

Zelensky was also scheduled to attend the memorial for the late Sen. Lindsey Graham and meet with a bipartisan group of senators on proposed legislation to extend sanctions on Iran. Secretary of State Marco Rubio, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth represented the U.S. at the Zelensky meeting.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu arrived at the White House at 10:57 a.m. ET on July 28 for his first in-person meeting with Trump since before the U.S.-Israel war against Iran began. The meeting, which lasted roughly an hour and a half, was closed to the press.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu arrived at the White House at 10:57 a.m. ET on July 28 for his first in-person meeting with Trump since before the U.S.-Israel war against Iran began. The meeting, which lasted roughly an hour and a half, was closed to the press.

A senior Israeli official described the Trump-Netanyahu talks as a "very good and very positive meeting," saying the two leaders discussed all arenas — primarily Iran — and reaffirmed their joint commitment to preventing Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons.

A senior Israeli official described the Trump-Netanyahu talks as a "very good and very positive meeting," saying the two leaders discussed all arenas — primarily Iran — and reaffirmed their joint commitment to preventing Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons.

Zelenskyy, Netanyahu visit White House ahead of Graham funeral

Zelenskyy, Netanyahu visit White House ahead of Graham funeral

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Monitor

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YouGov

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Miller

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Press

Wolfenstein

Affairs

Dw.Com

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Metaculus

Polymarket

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Kalshi

Byman

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Morgan

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Stone

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