Controversy
Status:Open
Will Russia and Ukraine publicly agree to a cessation of hostilities lasting more than 36 hours before January 1, 2027?
UNLIKELYLIKELY
Claims
Tatiana Stanovaya"There will be no final settlement either now or in the foreseeable future."Feb 18, 2026
Ruth Deyermond"Neither Ukraine nor Russia seems to be in a position to achieve a conclusive victory on the battlefield and, though both are under significant pressure, neither appears likely to collapse."Apr 24, 2026
James Newport"A peace in 2026 is unlikely to be a true resolution. More likely is an “indefinite ceasefire” akin to the Korean Peninsula’s frozen conflict."Jan 06, 2026
Polymarket"There is a 27% chance that Russia and Ukraine will have a ceasefire by the end of 2026."Apr 06, 2026
RBC-Ukraine"20% of Ukrainians expect the war with Russia to end in the coming weeks or by mid-2026."Feb 02, 2026
Orfonline"The prospects for a comprehensive and sustainable peace in Ukraine in the near term remain limited."Feb 26, 2026
Dw.Com"All in all, an end to the war doesn't seem to be within close range as we head into 2026."Apr 24, 2026
Dw.Com"Experts say Washington's lack of pressure on Russia has also prolonged the war and is likely to continue to do so in 2026."Apr 24, 2026
Steve Gutterman"Analysts say the biggest conflict in Europe since World War II is unlikely to end in 2026."Apr 24, 2026
Lines"There is a 30% chance that Russia and Ukraine will have a ceasefire by the end of 2026."Apr 24, 2026
© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 7.4.1
© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.
All rights reserved.
Version 7.4.1