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Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Atlantic Council

Negar Mortazavi

J Street

Abbas Araghchi

Michael Rubin

Daniel Shapiro

Kaja Kallas

Kenneth Katzman

Alexander Langlois

Jim Lobe

Jean-Noel Barrot

Mohammed Ghaedi

Beto O Rourke

Ray Takeyh

Douglas London

Ray McGovern

"Despite the heightened tensions, a full-scale war [between the U.S. and Iran] remains unlikely in the immediate term."

"Trump has been clear in his desire to resolve the issue diplomatically and avoid war [with Iran] in the Middle East."

"Despite all the hysteria of war, I'm not really seeing that on the horizon."

"It is highly unlikely that Trump will bomb Iran, not least because he vowed on the presidential campaign trail not to drag the United States into a war."

"The potential of some kind of conflict with Iran escalating into a larger regional war is very real, possibly more real than ever."

"The United States now seems close to a direct conflict that Biden (and Iran) have worked hard to avoid."

"[A] full-scale war is hardly inevitable."

"If they [Iran] don't make a deal [with the US], there will be bombing."

Will There Be a US-Iran War?

Benjamin Netanyahu

Ali Khamenei

Masoud Pezeshkian

Scott Ritter

Kelsey Davenport

Rafael Mariano Grossi

Seyed Hossein Mousavian

Polymarket

Tulsi Gabbard

Mehdi Hasan

Tamir Hayman

Kamal Kharazi

Barry R McCaffrey

Iran Watch

Hui Zhang

War Monitor

S.L. Kanthan

The New York Times

"No, we're not thinking about nuclear weapons."

"We have no intention of obtaining these weapons at all."

"Iran doesn't have nukes, isn't building nukes, and hasn't made the decision to build nukes."

"Iran doesn't have a bomb, and doesn't appear to be trying to make a bomb."

"They are definitely going for a nuclear weapon there is no question."

Iran could produce a nuclear weapon "within a few months, less than a year."

Will Iran Possess a Nuclear Weapon?

Alex Vatanka

Jeremy Bowen

Jason Brodsky

Foreign Affairs

Crisis24

Khaama Press

Nicole Grajewski

Reza Pahlavi

Dina Esfandiary

Suzanne Maloney

Arash Azizi

William Usher

Konrad Wolfenstein

“A collapse appears unlikely for now.”

"The collapse of the Iranian government remains unlikely in the near term."

"Our core assumption is that the regime will survive as long as its leaders and security forces retain the ability and willingness to suppress domestic unrest."

It's "unclear if the demonstrations would unseat the leadership, pointing to the sheer depth and resilience of Iran's repressive apparatus."

"It's going to take a few different ingredients for the regime to fall," including "defections in the security services and cracks in the Islamic republic's political elite."

"What this heralds for the Islamic Republic in the near term is neither revolution nor collapse, but rather a slow-motion metastasis that is echoing across the political establishment, the economy, and society."

"Change now looks inevitable; regime collapse is possible but not guaranteed."

"If the regime does not fall this year, it may nonetheless enter a phase of irreversible weakening—one in which future shocks could prove far more difficult to absorb."

"The regime's chances of survival have reached a critical low, and its strategy of perseverance through coercion is being tested by a population that has largely lost faith in the state's ability to govern."

"The plain fact is that the Khamenei regime’s days are numbered."

Will the Current Iranian Government Collapse?

The US military shot down an Iranian Shahed-139 drone on Tuesday after it approached the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier in the Arabian Sea, approximately 500 miles from Iran's southern coast. An F-35C fighter jet from the Lincoln conducted the shootdown in self-defense.

The US military shot down an Iranian Shahed-139 drone on Tuesday after it approached the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier in the Arabian Sea, approximately 500 miles from Iran's southern coast. An F-35C fighter jet from the Lincoln conducted the shootdown in self-defense.

In a separate incident on Tuesday, Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps forces approached the US-flagged merchant vessel Stena Imperative in the Strait of Hormuz at high speeds and threatened to board and seize the tanker. The USS McFaul destroyer responded and escorted the vessel to safety.

In a separate incident on Tuesday, Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps forces approached the US-flagged merchant vessel Stena Imperative in the Strait of Hormuz at high speeds and threatened to board and seize the tanker. The USS McFaul destroyer responded and escorted the vessel to safety.

Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian stated on Tuesday that he instructed the country's foreign minister to pursue fair and equitable negotiations with the US, provided conditions are free from threats and unreasonable expectations. This marked one of the first clear signs Tehran wants to negotiate.

Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian stated on Tuesday that he instructed the country's foreign minister to pursue fair and equitable negotiations with the US, provided conditions are free from threats and unreasonable expectations. This marked one of the first clear signs Tehran wants to negotiate.

US Special Envoy Steve Witkoff and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi are expected to meet in Istanbul on Friday for nuclear talks, with representatives from Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Egypt also invited. White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt confirmed the talks remain scheduled.

US Special Envoy Steve Witkoff and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi are expected to meet in Istanbul on Friday for nuclear talks, with representatives from Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Egypt also invited. White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt confirmed the talks remain scheduled.

The US has deployed the USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group to the Middle East, bringing approximately 5,700 additional service members along with guided-missile destroyers and air defense assets. President Trump described the deployment as a massive armada heading toward Iran.

The US has deployed the USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group to the Middle East, bringing approximately 5,700 additional service members along with guided-missile destroyers and air defense assets. President Trump described the deployment as a massive armada heading toward Iran.

Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei warned on Sunday that the Iranian nation will strike a strong blow against anyone who attacks them, while also stating Iran does not initiate attacks. He previously warned that any US attack on Iran would spark a regional war.

Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei warned on Sunday that the Iranian nation will strike a strong blow against anyone who attacks them, while also stating Iran does not initiate attacks. He previously warned that any US attack on Iran would spark a regional war.

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Trump confirms talks with Iran as US military shoots down Iranian drone

US Shoots Down Iranian Drone Near Carrier Amid Tensions

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