Claims
Mohammed Ghaedi"It is highly unlikely that Trump will bomb Iran, not least because he vowed on the presidential campaign trail not to drag the United States into a war."Mar 31, 2025
Atlantic Council"The United States now seems close to a direct conflict that Biden (and Iran) have worked hard to avoid."Apr 15, 2024
Daniel Shapiro"Trump has been clear in his desire to resolve the issue diplomatically and avoid war [with Iran] in the Middle East."Apr 11, 2025
Jean-Noel BarrotIn the absence of a new deal, "a military confrontation would appear to be almost inevitable."Apr 04, 2025
Joe Biden"If Iran succeeds in significantly escalating its assault on Israel, the U.S. could be drawn in."May 22, 2025
J Street"[T]he chances of a nuclear agreement or a war are both much higher in 2025 than they've been in a while."Apr 09, 2025
Alexander Langlois"Trump has left the option of military strikes on Iranian nuclear and military sites on the table should non-military efforts fail to curtail Tehran."Mar 10, 2025
Jim Lobe"The potential of some kind of conflict with Iran escalating into a larger regional war is very real, possibly more real than ever."Jan 25, 2019
SpecialEurasia"Despite the heightened tensions, a full-scale war [between the U.S. and Iran] remains unlikely in the immediate term."May 12, 2025
Abbas Araghchi"We believe that in the event of any attack on the nuclear facilities of the Islamic Republic of Iran by the Zionist regime, the U.S. government will also be involved and bear legal responsibility."May 22, 2025
Kenneth Katzman"If they [Iranians] assassinated a US president, a full-scale invasion is very much an option."May 26, 2025
Michael Rubin"Indeed, it appears Khamenei may want the United States to attack, calculating that he can rally Iranians around the flag to make up for his declining legitimacy."May 28, 2025
