Versions :<123456Live

Study: Climate Change Behind Europe's Record Heatwave

Is Europe's deadly heatwave proof of climate change or just a natural weather pattern blown out of proportion?
Study: Climate Change Behind Europe's Record Heatwave
Above: A map of Europe shows a heatwave on the continent on June 24. Image credit: Sabrina Blanchard and Sylvie Husson/AFP Getty Images

The Spin


Climate-concerned narrative

Climate change made Europe's record-breaking heatwave possible — without it, these temperatures would've been virtually impossible just 50 years ago. Daytime highs topped 104°F (40°C) across France, Italy and Spain, and 45% of 850 analyzed cities broke heat stress records. Europe is warming twice as fast as the global average, and burning fossil fuels is driving every bit of it.

Climate-skeptic narrative

Europe's heatwave is driven by an omega block in the jet stream pushing hot Saharan air northward — a completely natural atmospheric process unrelated to greenhouse gas emissions. Reduced cloud cover from EU pollution regulations likely plays a bigger role than the global mean temperature. Blaming climate change for routine weather patterns is not science but sensationalism.


Metaculus Prediction

There's a 98% chance that there will be at least 2˚C of global warming by 2100, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


The Controversies



Go Deeper

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 7.4.1

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 7.4.1