Axios

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Al Jazeera

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Guardian

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The Times of Israel

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Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Atlantic Council

Negar Mortazavi

J Street

Abbas Araghchi

Michael Rubin

Daniel Shapiro

Kaja Kallas

Kenneth Katzman

Alexander Langlois

Jim Lobe

Jean-Noel Barrot

Mohammed Ghaedi

Beto O Rourke

Ray Takeyh

Douglas London

Ray McGovern

"Despite the heightened tensions, a full-scale war [between the U.S. and Iran] remains unlikely in the immediate term."

"Trump has been clear in his desire to resolve the issue diplomatically and avoid war [with Iran] in the Middle East."

"Despite all the hysteria of war, I'm not really seeing that on the horizon."

"It is highly unlikely that Trump will bomb Iran, not least because he vowed on the presidential campaign trail not to drag the United States into a war."

"The potential of some kind of conflict with Iran escalating into a larger regional war is very real, possibly more real than ever."

"The United States now seems close to a direct conflict that Biden (and Iran) have worked hard to avoid."

"[A] full-scale war is hardly inevitable."

"If they [Iran] don't make a deal [with the US], there will be bombing."

Will There Be a US-Iran War?

Benjamin Netanyahu

Ali Khamenei

Masoud Pezeshkian

Scott Ritter

Kelsey Davenport

Rafael Mariano Grossi

Seyed Hossein Mousavian

Polymarket

Tulsi Gabbard

Mehdi Hasan

Tamir Hayman

Kamal Kharazi

Barry R McCaffrey

Iran Watch

Hui Zhang

War Monitor

S.L. Kanthan

"No, we're not thinking about nuclear weapons."

"We have no intention of obtaining these weapons at all."

"Iran doesn't have nukes, isn't building nukes, and hasn't made the decision to build nukes."

"Iran doesn't have a bomb, and doesn't appear to be trying to make a bomb."

"They are definitely going for a nuclear weapon there is no question."

Iran could produce a nuclear weapon "within a few months, less than a year."

Will Iran Possess a Nuclear Weapon?

Marco Rubio

J.D. Vance

Esmaeil Baghaei

John Ratcliffe

Nicholas L. Miller

Spencer Faragasso

Darya Dolzikova

Andrea Stricker

Sean Parnell

David Albright

Israel Atomic Energy Commission

"If it [the stockpile of enriched uranium] is intact and Iran is able to keep it that way, they could potentially use it in a new covert enrichment facility to produce material for several nuclear weapons in a matter of months."

"I can say to the American people with great confidence that they [Iranians] are much further away from a nuclear program today than they were 24 hours ago."

"Our nuclear installations have been badly damaged, that's for sure."

"Israel's and U.S. attacks have effectively destroyed Iran's centrifuge enrichment program."

"The American strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities, combined with Israeli strikes on other elements of Iran's military nuclear program, has set back Iran's ability to develop nuclear weapons by many years."

"Iran's key nuclear enrichment facilities have been completely and totally obliterated."

Have US Strikes Set Back Iran's Nuclear Program?

Alex Vatanka

Jeremy Bowen

Jason Brodsky

Foreign Affairs

Crisis24

Khaama Press

Nicole Grajewski

Reza Pahlavi

Dina Esfandiary

Suzanne Maloney

Arash Azizi

William Usher

Konrad Wolfenstein

“A collapse appears unlikely for now.”

"The collapse of the Iranian government remains unlikely in the near term."

"Our core assumption is that the regime will survive as long as its leaders and security forces retain the ability and willingness to suppress domestic unrest."

It's "unclear if the demonstrations would unseat the leadership, pointing to the sheer depth and resilience of Iran's repressive apparatus."

"It's going to take a few different ingredients for the regime to fall," including "defections in the security services and cracks in the Islamic republic's political elite."

"What this heralds for the Islamic Republic in the near term is neither revolution nor collapse, but rather a slow-motion metastasis that is echoing across the political establishment, the economy, and society."

"Change now looks inevitable; regime collapse is possible but not guaranteed."

"If the regime does not fall this year, it may nonetheless enter a phase of irreversible weakening—one in which future shocks could prove far more difficult to absorb."

"The regime's chances of survival have reached a critical low, and its strategy of perseverance through coercion is being tested by a population that has largely lost faith in the state's ability to govern."

"The plain fact is that the Khamenei regime’s days are numbered."

Will the Current Iranian Government Collapse?

U.S. and Iranian officials are scheduled to meet in Oman on Friday to discuss Iran's nuclear program, with the talks taking place after several Middle Eastern countries urged the Trump administration not to cancel the meeting. The meeting was originally planned for Istanbul.

U.S. and Iranian officials are scheduled to meet in Oman on Friday to discuss Iran's nuclear program, with the talks taking place after several Middle Eastern countries urged the Trump administration not to cancel the meeting. The meeting was originally planned for Istanbul.

The talks were moved to Oman at Iran's request, with Tehran insisting on a bilateral format focused exclusively on nuclear issues rather than a multilateral meeting that would include discussions of missiles and regional proxy groups.

The talks were moved to Oman at Iran's request, with Tehran insisting on a bilateral format focused exclusively on nuclear issues rather than a multilateral meeting that would include discussions of missiles and regional proxy groups.

U.S. special envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner will lead the American delegation, while Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi will head Iran's team. The meeting represents the first talks between the countries since June's conflict.

U.S. special envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner will lead the American delegation, while Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi will head Iran's team. The meeting represents the first talks between the countries since June's conflict.

Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated that meaningful talks must address Iran's ballistic missile program, support for militant groups and human rights issues in addition to nuclear matters, while Iran maintains discussions should focus solely on its nuclear program.

Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated that meaningful talks must address Iran's ballistic missile program, support for militant groups and human rights issues in addition to nuclear matters, while Iran maintains discussions should focus solely on its nuclear program.

The United States has deployed significant military assets to the region, including the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier strike group, amid threats of military action if diplomatic efforts fail to produce results.

The United States has deployed significant military assets to the region, including the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier strike group, amid threats of military action if diplomatic efforts fail to produce results.

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi emphasized that Iran enters diplomacy in good faith while standing firm on its rights, calling for mutual respect and equal standing as essential pillars of any durable agreement.

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi emphasized that Iran enters diplomacy in good faith while standing firm on its rights, calling for mutual respect and equal standing as essential pillars of any durable agreement.

U.S., Iran to Hold Nuclear Talks in Oman Friday

U.S.., and Iran to Hold Nuclear Talks in Oman on Friday

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Ritter

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Baghaei

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Commission

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U.S., Iran to Hold Nuclear Talks in Oman Friday

U.S.., and Iran to Hold Nuclear Talks in Oman on Friday

The Controversies

Kallas

Shapiro

Takeyh

Ghaedi

Lobe

Council

London

Trump

Khamenei

Pezeshkian

Hasan

Ritter

Monitor

Netanyahu

Miller

Vance

Baghaei

Albright

Commission

Trump

Esfandiary

Crisis24

ISW

Brodsky

Vatanka

Press

Wolfenstein

Affairs

Go Deeper

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