Iran Strikes Israel Following Second Round of Israeli Strikes

Above: Rocket trails in the sky above Jerusalem on June 13, 2025. Image copyright: Ahmad Gharabli/AFP/Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-Israel narrative

Israel seized a critical window of opportunity to neutralize an existential threat. Iran's proxies have been severely weakened, making retaliation less likely, while Israel's proven bunker-busting capabilities and operational reach demonstrated in previous strikes made this mission feasible. The regime's open calls for Israel's destruction, backed by nuclear weapons development, left no choice but decisive action.

Pro-Iran narrative

This unprovoked aggression against residential areas reveals the Zionist regime's criminal nature and will face a bitter and painful punishment. The targeting of scientists and commanders in their homes shows the enemy's desperation, but successors will immediately carry on their duties. Iran's armed forces stand ready to deliver a firm response to this bloodstained crime.

Metaculus Prediction

There's an 11% chance that there will be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.



The Controversies



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