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Trump Allegedly Offers Iran $30B Nuclear Deal Amid Diplomatic Push

Trump Allegedly Offers Iran $30B Nuclear Deal Amid Diplomatic Push
Above: U.S. President Donald Trump makes address from the White House in Washington, DC on June 21, 2025. Image copyright: Carlos Barria/AFP/Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-Iran narrative

It is characteristic of U.S. "diplomacy" to first rain bombs and abuse international law, before calling for negotiations. That said, it is highly questionable whether Iran will swallow the financial bait, which at the same time means giving up essential parts of its national sovereignty and dignity. The Islamic Republic has the right to use nuclear energy for peaceful purposes as per Article IV of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, and Iranians are determined to preserve that right under any circumstances.

Anti-Iran narrative

Iran's rejection of talks and the passing of legislation to terminate nuclear cooperation with the United Nations prove that Tehran is not interested in negotiating in good faith. The regime's continued resistance despite the devastating strikes shows that it remains committed to uranium enrichment and is using diplomacy as a stalling tactic. All options should remain on the table in case the Iranian regime resorts to new provocations and starts rebuilding its clandestine nuclear weapons program.

Pro-Trump narrative

The comprehensive $30 billion proposal represents a serious diplomatic breakthrough that could finally resolve the Iranian nuclear crisis through economic incentives rather than military pressure. Trump's decisive strikes have weakened Iran's position and created the perfect opportunity for a lasting peace agreement that ensures Tehran never develops nuclear weapons. The Gulf states' willingness to fund this civilian program shows regional support for a diplomatic solution.

Metaculus Prediction



The Controversies



Go Deeper


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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