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Iran Expands Military Drills, Unveils Underground Missile Facility

Iran Expands Military Drills, Unveils Underground Missile Facility
Above: IRGC personnel monitor an area during a military rally in Tehran on Jan. 10, 2025. Image copyright: Morteza Nikoubazl/Contributor/NurPhoto via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-Iran narrative

Iran is sending a clear message to its enemies — the country is fully prepared to defend its sovereignty even if a hybrid, information-based war is launched against it. America and its proxies must know by now that no provocation against Iran will be left unanswered.

Anti-Iran narrative

Given that Iran faces mounting economic pressure at home and diplomatic and military pressure abroad — even as a second Trump administration is yet to kick off — it's an odd time for the regime to commit to a show of strength. Iran must realize that it cannot really afford to further escalate tensions, especially in the face of a unified Western bloc.

Metaculus Prediction


The Controversies



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