The Wall Street Journal

Iran Strikes Us 1D263F3F

ZeroHedge

Trump: 'Large & Powerful Strikes' In Iran Ongoing As 'Retaliation' For Mining Hormuz Strait

The Jerusalem Post

US launches retaliatory strikes against Iran

Middle East Eye

Live: Ghalibaf says Iran is rebuilding its armed forces faster than its enemies

The New York Times

Us Launches Air Strikes Iran.Html

Daily Sabah

US strikes Iran again as renewed fighting fuels Gulf tensions

Oil prices surge after U.S. renews Iran strikes, heightening inflation fears

Haaretz

U.S. Military Says It Struck Iranian Targets Citing Attempted Attacks on Its Forces

Truth Social

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EricLDaugh

DropSiteNews

PressTV

Donald Trump

Marco Rubio

JD Vance

Esmaeil Baghaei

Rafael Mariano Grossi

John Ratcliffe

Tulsi Gabbard

Nicholas L. Miller

Spencer Faragasso

Darya Dolzikova

Andrea Stricker

Sean Parnell

David Albright

Israel Atomic Energy Commission

"If it [the stockpile of enriched uranium] is intact and Iran is able to keep it that way, they could potentially use it in a new covert enrichment facility to produce material for several nuclear weapons in a matter of months."

"I can say to the American people with great confidence that they [Iranians] are much further away from a nuclear program today than they were 24 hours ago."

"Our nuclear installations have been badly damaged, that's for sure."

"Israel's and U.S. attacks have effectively destroyed Iran's centrifuge enrichment program."

"The American strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities, combined with Israeli strikes on other elements of Iran's military nuclear program, has set back Iran's ability to develop nuclear weapons by many years."

"Iran's key nuclear enrichment facilities have been completely and totally obliterated."

Have US Strikes Set Back Iran's Nuclear Program?

Alex Vatanka

Mona Yacoubian

Daniel Byman

Polymarket

Kalshi

J.P. Morgan

The Washington Post

Metaculus

Mossad Commentary

Neil Stone

Suzanne Maloney

Al Jazeera Centre for Studies

Victor Davis Hanson

Witold Repetowicz

Mehdi Parpanchi

Mohammed M. Hafez

Stimson Center

"Current and former U.S. officials say they see little sign, at least so far, of a mass popular uprising in Iran or of significant fissures within the government or security forces that will result in a new regime."

"There is an 11% chance that the Iranian government will lose power before 2027."

"There is an 8.9% chance that the Iranian regime will collapse and Reza Pahlavi will become head of state before January 1, 2027."

"There is an 19% chance that the Iranian regime will fall before 2027."

"Regime change is possible but unlikely."

"In any case, the Islamic Republic faces a significant challenge, and its long-term survival is not assured."

"Regime collapse or irreversible degradation is more likely than regime survival (65% likelihood)."

“The regime cannot continue that long.”

"If Trump sees it through, and I think he will, I think they're [going to] fall pretty soon, in two, three, four weeks."

"I think the regime will collapse before Iranian New Year (Nowruz), which is March 20th."

Will the Islamic Republic of Iran Experience Regime Collapse by 2027?

CSIS

Neil Quilliam

Sanam Vakil

Matthew Kroenig

Victoria J. Taylor

Laura James

Pratibha Thaker

Catherine Ashton

Jessica Genauer

Nate Swanson

Eric Lob

Amr Hamzawy

Mohammad Ayatollahi Tabaar

"We may be entering a new era of protracted conflict—with Iran at the center of it."

"Any deal will be at best fragile, or at worst impossible."

"Tehran probably perceives the ceasefire as a pause in hostilities rather than anything permanent, and it is preparing for renewed conflict accordingly."

"A lasting settlement remains unlikely because Iran wants continued leverage over the Strait of Hormuz and cannot accept an outcome portrayed as a U.S. victory. "

"A comprehensive settlement is unlikely to emerge quickly."

"There is a possibility that this ceasefire could pave the way for a more permanent deal, but it is more likely this will be a temporary and fragile understanding that will, in the best-case scenario, prevent renewed war through the end of this administration."

"I think that this probably will lead to a cessation of hostilities, but it's unlikely to lead to a full agreement that really satisfies everything that on the one hand, the Trump administration would like and on the other hand that the Iranian regime would like, because I think that the two sides just still sit too far apart."

“The most likely negotiation outcome is an ambiguous version of the cease-fire continuing indefinitely, which, while unseemly, is better than the alternative,”

"I suspect it will hold because both sides have a strong economic incentive to get energy flowing to global markets."

"There is a 99% chance that U.S. x Iran will reach a permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026."

Will the US and Iran Establish a Lasting Ceasefire Before 2027?

U.S. Central Command announced Tuesday that American forces began striking Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps targets in Iran at noon ET, citing recent IRGC attacks on commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz and on U.S. service members in the region.

U.S. Central Command announced Tuesday that American forces began striking Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps targets in Iran at noon ET, citing recent IRGC attacks on commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz and on U.S. service members in the region.

President Trump confirmed the strikes in a Truth Social post, describing them as "large and powerful" and as retaliation for Iran's attempted mining of the Strait of Hormuz and the firing of eight missiles at a U.S. base in Jordan.

President Trump confirmed the strikes in a Truth Social post, describing them as "large and powerful" and as retaliation for Iran's attempted mining of the Strait of Hormuz and the firing of eight missiles at a U.S. base in Jordan.

Iranian state media reported explosions in Bandar Abbas, Qeshm Island and Lavan Island on Tuesday. Iran's deputy governor for Sistan and Baluchestan province said four projectiles struck the southeastern cities of Chabahar and Konarak.

Iranian state media reported explosions in Bandar Abbas, Qeshm Island and Lavan Island on Tuesday. Iran's deputy governor for Sistan and Baluchestan province said four projectiles struck the southeastern cities of Chabahar and Konarak.

The IRGC vowed that the U.S. would "regret" the strikes, while Iran's semi-official Tasnim news agency cited a senior military source saying Tehran's response would be "several times greater" than the U.S. attacks.

The IRGC vowed that the U.S. would "regret" the strikes, while Iran's semi-official Tasnim news agency cited a senior military source saying Tehran's response would be "several times greater" than the U.S. attacks.

Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian, speaking at a Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit in Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, said Iran would "immediately reciprocate" if the U.S. returned to its commitments under a June memorandum of understanding.

Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian, speaking at a Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit in Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, said Iran would "immediately reciprocate" if the U.S. returned to its commitments under a June memorandum of understanding.

Brent crude oil rose nearly 4% to around $94 a barrel on Tuesday following the strike announcement. Two supertankers were also struck by projectiles while exiting the Strait of Hormuz earlier that day, according to maritime security firm Marisks.

Brent crude oil rose nearly 4% to around $94 a barrel on Tuesday following the strike announcement. Two supertankers were also struck by projectiles while exiting the Strait of Hormuz earlier that day, according to maritime security firm Marisks.