Forbes

Human Caused Climate Change Is Making El Nio Stronger Corals Show

El Nio events are becoming stronger as the world warms

RyanWeather

Metaculus

Global Temperature Anomaly In 2026

PNAS

Pnas.2112797118

EuroNews

Is global warming supercharging El Nios? New study may reveal the answer

ScienceMagazine

Nature

Why are El Nios getting stronger? 1,000-year-coral record points to climate change

PHYS

2026 08 El Nios Intense Years Previous.Html

The Guardian

El Niño climate patterns supercharged by burning of fossil fuels, study finds

Science

Climate Change Strengthening El Ni%C3%B1O Coral Records Suggest

Not purely natural: El Nio is more intense because of climate change, study finds

The Associated Press

As super El Nino strengthens, study suggests that climate change is intensifying El Ninos

New Scientist

Galapagos corals suggest climate change drives stronger El Niños

Inside Climate News

Global Warming Intensifies El Nino

The Current

El Nio has become more intense over last 40 years than the previous 1,000 years

The Conversation

Galápagos corals show El Niño events are more extreme now than in past 1,000 years – here’s how my team made the discovery

Scientific American

Climate change is supercharging El Nios, coral records show

JunkScience

Charles III

Donald Trump

Elon Musk

Joe Biden

Nancy Pelosi

Xi Jinping

Rishi Sunak

Kamala Harris

Justin Trudeau

Narendra Modi

Bill Gates

Pope Francis

Janet Yellen

Emmanuel Macron

Olaf Scholz

Angela Merkel

Yuval Noah Harari

António Guterres

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Barack Obama

Kofi Annan

Michael Mann

James Inhofe

Greta Thunberg

David Attenborough

Giorgia Meloni

Patrick Michaels

Jane Goodall

Bjorn Lomborg

Freeman Dyson

"[C]limate change is just a very, very expensive form of tax."

"I believe in climate change caused by human beings. What I'm skeptical about is the glib notion that it means the end of the world as we know it."

"The clock is no longer just ticking, it is banging."

"There is no long-term prosperity without action on climate change."

"The time for seeking global solutions [to climate change] is running out."

"The climate crisis is the existential threat. That's not hyperbole; it's a fact."

"[W]e are killing our planet."

Climate change is "above all, an existential crisis."

"Climate change is one of the greatest challenges mankind faces."

"If we don't take action, the collapse of our civilisations and the extinction of much of the natural world is on the horizon."

"Humanity is on thin ice — and that ice is melting fast."

"We haven't yet exceeded the bounds of viable human civilisation, but we're getting close."

Is Climate Change an Existential Threat?

A study published in the journal Science on Thursday found that El Niño events over the past 40 years were stronger than at any point in the previous 1,000 years, with variability in the eastern Pacific now 36.5% greater than in the pre-industrial era.

A study published in the journal Science on Thursday found that El Niño events over the past 40 years were stronger than at any point in the previous 1,000 years, with variability in the eastern Pacific now 36.5% greater than in the pre-industrial era.

The research, led by University of Michigan paleoclimatologist Julia Cole, analyzed living and fossil corals from the Galápagos Islands — said to be at the heart of El Niño activity — measuring strontium-to-calcium ratios and oxygen isotopes to reconstruct ocean temperatures spanning roughly 1,000 years.

The research, led by University of Michigan paleoclimatologist Julia Cole, analyzed living and fossil corals from the Galápagos Islands — said to be at the heart of El Niño activity — measuring strontium-to-calcium ratios and oxygen isotopes to reconstruct ocean temperatures spanning roughly 1,000 years.

El Niño events in the past four decades were also about 16% stronger than those recorded during the 20th century, according to the study, with the authors associating the recent intensification with accelerated global warming driven by fossil-fuel emissions since the mid-19th century.

El Niño events in the past four decades were also about 16% stronger than those recorded during the 20th century, according to the study, with the authors associating the recent intensification with accelerated global warming driven by fossil-fuel emissions since the mid-19th century.

To rule out natural causes, researchers used climate models accounting for volcanic eruptions and solar variability over the past millennium and found no natural explanation for the scale of El Niño intensification observed in the coral record.

To rule out natural causes, researchers used climate models accounting for volcanic eruptions and solar variability over the past millennium and found no natural explanation for the scale of El Niño intensification observed in the coral record.

Some outside scientists raised questions about the findings, with University of Pennsylvania climate scientist Michael Mann noting what he described as "a substantial decline in recent decades" in El Niño-related ocean temperature variations near the Galápagos during the period of greatest greenhouse gas warming.

Some outside scientists raised questions about the findings, with University of Pennsylvania climate scientist Michael Mann noting what he described as "a substantial decline in recent decades" in El Niño-related ocean temperature variations near the Galápagos during the period of greatest greenhouse gas warming.

The study was released as <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.verity.news/story/2026/uk-predicts-record-el-nio-that-could-make-hottest-year-ever">a powerful El Niño was strengthening in the Pacific</a>, with sea surface temperatures in the eastern tropical Pacific reaching 2.7°C above average by mid-August. A 2023 study estimated that the strong El Niño events of 1982-83, 1997-98 and 2015-16 caused trillions of dollars in economic losses.

The study was released as a powerful El Niño was strengthening in the Pacific, with sea surface temperatures in the eastern tropical Pacific reaching 2.7°C above average by mid-August. A 2023 study estimated that the strong El Niño events of 1982-83, 1997-98 and 2015-16 caused trillions of dollars in economic losses.

Coral records from the Galápagos make it clear — El Niño events are stronger now than at any point in the past 1,000 years, and human-caused warming is driving that shift. Stronger El Niños mean more devastating droughts, floods and economic losses, and the world needs to start preparing for that reality.

Coral records from the Galápagos make it clear — El Niño events are stronger now than at any point in the past 1,000 years, and human-caused warming is driving that shift. Stronger El Niños mean more devastating droughts, floods and economic losses, and the world needs to start preparing for that reality.

Climate-concerned narrative

The conflation of El Niño variability and climate alarmism is reaching absurd levels of discourse. There needs to be a much more vigorous challenging of climate activist science and "journalism" in the public arena.

The conflation of El Niño variability and climate alarmism is reaching absurd levels of discourse. There needs to be a much more vigorous challenging of climate activist science and "journalism" in the public arena.

Ryan Maue

Steve Milloy

Climate-skeptic narrative

The Galápagos coral study is interesting data, but the leap to blaming human warming is a stretch the evidence doesn't fully support. The IPCC itself concluded there is no consensus from models on a systematic change in El Niño sea surface temperature variability, and large model ensembles found no historical trends distinguishable from internal variability.

The Galápagos coral study is interesting data, but the leap to blaming human warming is a stretch the evidence doesn't fully support. The IPCC itself concluded there is no consensus from models on a systematic change in El Niño sea surface temperature variability, and large model ensembles found no historical trends distinguishable from internal variability.

Bluesky Social

@michaelemann.bsky.social on Bluesky

Narrative C

There is a 50% chance that the average global surface air temperature in 2026 relative to the pre-industrial baseline will be at least 1.47 °C, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

There is a 50% chance that the average global surface air temperature in 2026 relative to the pre-industrial baseline will be at least 1.47 °C, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Nerd narrative

Ernesto Benavides/AFP/Getty Images