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"No, we're not thinking about nuclear weapons."

"We have no intention of obtaining these weapons at all."

"Iran doesn't have nukes, isn't building nukes, and hasn't made the decision to build nukes."

"Iran doesn't have a bomb, and doesn't appear to be trying to make a bomb."

"They are definitely going for a nuclear weapon there is no question."

"They can have [a nuclear weapon], you know, in a matter of months, I would say."

Iran could produce a nuclear weapon "within a few months, less than a year."

Will Iran Possess a Nuclear Weapon?

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“A collapse appears unlikely for now.”

"The collapse of the Iranian government remains unlikely in the near term."

"Our core assumption is that the regime will survive as long as its leaders and security forces retain the ability and willingness to suppress domestic unrest."

It's "unclear if the demonstrations would unseat the leadership, pointing to the sheer depth and resilience of Iran's repressive apparatus."

"It's going to take a few different ingredients for the regime to fall," including "defections in the security services and cracks in the Islamic republic's political elite."

"What this heralds for the Islamic Republic in the near term is neither revolution nor collapse, but rather a slow-motion metastasis that is echoing across the political establishment, the economy, and society."

"Change now looks inevitable; regime collapse is possible but not guaranteed."

"If the regime does not fall this year, it may nonetheless enter a phase of irreversible weakening—one in which future shocks could prove far more difficult to absorb."

"The regime's chances of survival have reached a critical low, and its strategy of perseverance through coercion is being tested by a population that has largely lost faith in the state's ability to govern."

"The plain fact is that the Khamenei regime’s days are numbered."

Will the Current Iranian Government Collapse?

The UN's International Maritime Organization has launched a large-scale operation to evacuate more than 11,000 sailors stranded in the Strait of Hormuz, following a memorandum of understanding signed by the US and Iran to end their conflict.

The UN's International Maritime Organization has launched a large-scale operation to evacuate more than 11,000 sailors stranded in the Strait of Hormuz, following a memorandum of understanding signed by the US and Iran to end their conflict.

IMO Secretary-General Arsenio Dominguez said the evacuation would be carried out in cooperation with Iran, Oman, the US and other coastal states, adding that the agency had "secured the necessary safety guarantees" for safe navigation.

IMO Secretary-General Arsenio Dominguez said the evacuation would be carried out in cooperation with Iran, Oman, the US and other coastal states, adding that the agency had "secured the necessary safety guarantees" for safe navigation.

Oman's defence ministry said the existing Traffic Separation Scheme was "not safe for use at this time" and that two temporary routes to the north and south could be used, with vessels contacted individually and assigned a transit day.

Oman's defence ministry said the existing Traffic Separation Scheme was "not safe for use at this time" and that two temporary routes to the north and south could be used, with vessels contacted individually and assigned a transit day.

Traffic through the strait reached its highest level since the war began on June 22, though it represented just over 40 percent of the normal peacetime level of around 120 vessels per day, according to two maritime tracking platforms.

Traffic through the strait reached its highest level since the war began on June 22, though it represented just over 40 percent of the normal peacetime level of around 120 vessels per day, according to two maritime tracking platforms.

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, on a tour of Gulf allies including the UAE, Kuwait and Bahrain, said Iran would not be permitted to impose tolls on the Strait of Hormuz, calling it "an international waterway" under existing international law.

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, on a tour of Gulf allies including the UAE, Kuwait and Bahrain, said Iran would not be permitted to impose tolls on the Strait of Hormuz, calling it "an international waterway" under existing international law.

Iran and Oman issued a joint statement asserting their sovereignty over the strait and said they would study the administration of the trade route and associated costs, while Iran's chief negotiator Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf said the waterway "will never return" to its pre-war status.

Iran and Oman issued a joint statement asserting their sovereignty over the strait and said they would study the administration of the trade route and associated costs, while Iran's chief negotiator Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf said the waterway "will never return" to its pre-war status.

UN Evacuates 11,000 Sailors Stranded in Hormuz

UN Evacuates 11,000 Sailors Stranded in Hormuz

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UN Evacuates 11,000 Sailors Stranded in Hormuz

UN Evacuates 11,000 Sailors Stranded in Hormuz

The Controversies

Khamenei

Pezeshkian

Hasan

Ritter

Monitor

Grossi

Netanyahu

Esfandiary

Crisis24

ISW

Brodsky

Vatanka

Press

Wolfenstein

Affairs

Go Deeper

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