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The New York Times

"No, we're not thinking about nuclear weapons."

"We have no intention of obtaining these weapons at all."

"Iran doesn't have nukes, isn't building nukes, and hasn't made the decision to build nukes."

"Iran doesn't have a bomb, and doesn't appear to be trying to make a bomb."

"They are definitely going for a nuclear weapon there is no question."

"They can have [a nuclear weapon], you know, in a matter of months, I would say."

Iran could produce a nuclear weapon "within a few months, less than a year."

Will Iran Possess a Nuclear Weapon?

Alex Vatanka

Jeremy Bowen

Jason Brodsky

Foreign Affairs

Crisis24

Khaama Press

Nicole Grajewski

Reza Pahlavi

Dina Esfandiary

Suzanne Maloney

Arash Azizi

William Usher

Konrad Wolfenstein

“A collapse appears unlikely for now.”

"The collapse of the Iranian government remains unlikely in the near term."

"Our core assumption is that the regime will survive as long as its leaders and security forces retain the ability and willingness to suppress domestic unrest."

It's "unclear if the demonstrations would unseat the leadership, pointing to the sheer depth and resilience of Iran's repressive apparatus."

"What this heralds for the Islamic Republic in the near term is neither revolution nor collapse, but rather a slow-motion metastasis that is echoing across the political establishment, the economy, and society."

"It's going to take a few different ingredients for the regime to fall," including "defections in the security services and cracks in the Islamic republic's political elite."

"Change now looks inevitable; regime collapse is possible but not guaranteed."

"If the regime does not fall this year, it may nonetheless enter a phase of irreversible weakening—one in which future shocks could prove far more difficult to absorb."

"The regime's chances of survival have reached a critical low, and its strategy of perseverance through coercion is being tested by a population that has largely lost faith in the state's ability to govern."

"The plain fact is that the Khamenei regime’s days are numbered."

Will the Current Iranian Government Collapse?

Iran's IRGC claimed it struck 21 U.S. military targets across the region on Wednesday, including the U.S. Fifth Fleet headquarters in Bahrain, the Ali Al Salem Air Base in Kuwait and the Al-Azraq Air Base in Jordan, using ballistic missiles and drones.

Iran's IRGC claimed it struck 21 U.S. military targets across the region on Wednesday, including the U.S. Fifth Fleet headquarters in Bahrain, the Ali Al Salem Air Base in Kuwait and the Al-Azraq Air Base in Jordan, using ballistic missiles and drones.

The IRGC said it used long-range solid-fuel Kheibar Shekan missiles to strike four targets at the Al-Azraq base in Jordan, including F-35 fighter jet hangars and a command-and-control center. Jordan's military said it intercepted and shot down five of the incoming missiles, with debris falling but no casualties.

The IRGC said it used long-range solid-fuel Kheibar Shekan missiles to strike four targets at the Al-Azraq base in Jordan, including F-35 fighter jet hangars and a command-and-control center. Jordan's military said it intercepted and shot down five of the incoming missiles, with debris falling but no casualties.

A U.S. official told Reuters that initial assessments showed nearly all Iranian missiles and drones were intercepted, with no reports of harm to U.S. personnel or damage to U.S. bases. The official said the U.S. struck nearly 20 targets inside Iran during the operation.

A U.S. official told Reuters that initial assessments showed nearly all Iranian missiles and drones were intercepted, with no reports of harm to U.S. personnel or damage to U.S. bases. The official said the U.S. struck nearly 20 targets inside Iran during the operation.

The U.S. strikes targeted Iranian air defense, ground control stations and surveillance radar sites near the Strait of Hormuz. U.S. Central Command described the operation as "a proportional response to unjustified Iranian aggression" following the downing of a U.S. Apache helicopter.

The U.S. strikes targeted Iranian air defense, ground control stations and surveillance radar sites near the Strait of Hormuz. U.S. Central Command described the operation as "a proportional response to unjustified Iranian aggression" following the downing of a U.S. Apache helicopter.

The IRGC said U.S. strikes on Hormozgan Province damaged a telecommunications tower in Sirik and destroyed two water reservoirs in the Bemani district. Iran denied any role in the helicopter incident, which Washington cited as justification for its strikes.

The IRGC said U.S. strikes on Hormozgan Province damaged a telecommunications tower in Sirik and destroyed two water reservoirs in the Bemani district. Iran denied any role in the helicopter incident, which Washington cited as justification for its strikes.

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi held calls with his Turkish and Saudi counterparts to discuss the strikes, which he said violated Iran's sovereignty. Iran's foreign ministry warned Gulf nations they had a "legal and moral responsibility" to prevent their territory from being used for attacks on Iran.

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi held calls with his Turkish and Saudi counterparts to discuss the strikes, which he said violated Iran's sovereignty. Iran's foreign ministry warned Gulf nations they had a "legal and moral responsibility" to prevent their territory from being used for attacks on Iran.

Iran, U.S. Trade Strikes Across Middle East

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Iran, U.S. Trade Strikes Across Middle East

Iran, targetsU.S. USTrade basesStrikes inAcross Bahrain,Middle Kuwait, Jordan after US strikesEast

The Controversies

Khamenei

Pezeshkian

Hasan

Ritter

Monitor

Grossi

Netanyahu

Esfandiary

Crisis24

ISW

Maloney

Vatanka

Press

Wolfenstein

Affairs

Go Deeper

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