Iran International

Trump moots killing Iran deal opponents as Israel says ready to resume war

drpezeshkian

joekent16jan19

MarioNawfal

CENTCOM

niroo_daryayi

A_M_R_M1

RealDonKeith

Gulf News

US-Iran Ceasefire on Edge as Trump Orders Navy to Shoot and Kill Iranian Boats in Strait of Hormuz

mb_ghalibaf

PressTV

Iran central bank confirms Strait of Hormuz fees received in cash

araghchi

DeptofWar

BBC News

US boards ship carrying Iranian oil, as Trump orders navy to shoot any boat laying mines in strait

Anadolu Agency

US forces board 'stateless vessel' allegedly carrying Iranian oil: Pentagon

Argus Media

US forces board VLCC carrying Iranian oil

The New York Times

U.S. Forces Stop 2nd Tanker They Say Is Carrying Oil From Iran

The Hill

US forces board sanctioned vessel without incident, Pentagon says

Taipei Times

US says forces boarded tanker carrying Iranian oil

Metaculus

Will the United States conduct a ground invasion of Iran before 2027?

Benjamin Netanyahu

Ali Khamenei

Masoud Pezeshkian

Scott Ritter

Kelsey Davenport

Rafael Mariano Grossi

Seyed Hossein Mousavian

Polymarket

Tulsi Gabbard

Mehdi Hasan

Tamir Hayman

Kamal Kharazi

Barry R McCaffrey

Iran Watch

Hui Zhang

War Monitor

S.L. Kanthan

"No, we're not thinking about nuclear weapons."

"We have no intention of obtaining these weapons at all."

"Iran doesn't have nukes, isn't building nukes, and hasn't made the decision to build nukes."

"Iran doesn't have a bomb, and doesn't appear to be trying to make a bomb."

"They are definitely going for a nuclear weapon there is no question."

Iran could produce a nuclear weapon "within a few months, less than a year."

Will Iran Possess a Nuclear Weapon?

Alex Vatanka

Jeremy Bowen

Jason Brodsky

Foreign Affairs

Crisis24

Khaama Press

Nicole Grajewski

Reza Pahlavi

Dina Esfandiary

Suzanne Maloney

Arash Azizi

William Usher

Konrad Wolfenstein

“A collapse appears unlikely for now.”

"The collapse of the Iranian government remains unlikely in the near term."

"Our core assumption is that the regime will survive as long as its leaders and security forces retain the ability and willingness to suppress domestic unrest."

It's "unclear if the demonstrations would unseat the leadership, pointing to the sheer depth and resilience of Iran's repressive apparatus."

"It's going to take a few different ingredients for the regime to fall," including "defections in the security services and cracks in the Islamic republic's political elite."

"What this heralds for the Islamic Republic in the near term is neither revolution nor collapse, but rather a slow-motion metastasis that is echoing across the political establishment, the economy, and society."

"Change now looks inevitable; regime collapse is possible but not guaranteed."

"If the regime does not fall this year, it may nonetheless enter a phase of irreversible weakening—one in which future shocks could prove far more difficult to absorb."

"The regime's chances of survival have reached a critical low, and its strategy of perseverance through coercion is being tested by a population that has largely lost faith in the state's ability to govern."

"The plain fact is that the Khamenei regime’s days are numbered."

Will the Current Iranian Government Collapse?

U.S. forces boarded two sanctioned tankers in the Indian Ocean this week — the M/T Tifani and the M/T Majestic X — as part of what the Pentagon described as efforts to disrupt vessels providing material support to Iran.

U.S. forces boarded two sanctioned tankers in the Indian Ocean this week — the M/T Tifani and the M/T Majestic X — as part of what the Pentagon described as efforts to disrupt vessels providing material support to Iran.

The M/T Majestic X, also known as Phonix, was flying a Guyanese flag without authorization, according to ship-tracking data. Monitoring group TankerTrackers said the vessel had facilitated the export of 20 million barrels of Iranian oil since 2023.

The M/T Majestic X, also known as Phonix, was flying a Guyanese flag without authorization, according to ship-tracking data. Monitoring group TankerTrackers said the vessel had facilitated the export of 20 million barrels of Iranian oil since 2023.

Iran's Deputy Parliament Speaker Hamidreza Hajibabaee confirmed the first revenue from Strait of Hormuz transit fees had been deposited into the central bank's account, collected in cash currency rather than digital currencies such as Bitcoin.

Iran's Deputy Parliament Speaker Hamidreza Hajibabaee confirmed the first revenue from Strait of Hormuz transit fees had been deposited into the central bank's account, collected in cash currency rather than digital currencies such as Bitcoin.

Iran's Revolutionary Guards said they seized two vessels — the MSC Francesca and the Epaminondas — in the Strait of Hormuz, accusing them of attempting to exit without a license and tampering with navigation systems.

Iran's Revolutionary Guards said they seized two vessels — the MSC Francesca and the Epaminondas — in the Strait of Hormuz, accusing them of attempting to exit without a license and tampering with navigation systems.

U.S. Central Command said it had redirected a total of 33 vessels since the start of its naval blockade of Iranian ports, which began around April 13. The Pentagon stated that "international waters cannot be used as a shield by sanctioned actors."

Trump Department of War

U.S. Central Command said it had redirected a total of 33 vessels since the start of its naval blockade of Iranian ports, which began around April 13. The Pentagon stated that "international waters cannot be used as a shield by sanctioned actors."

Trump ordered the U.S. Navy to shoot any boats laying mines in the Strait of Hormuz and directed minesweeping operations to triple in intensity. The UK and France separately convened military planners from more than 30 countries to discuss reopening the strait to commercial shipping.

Donald Trump

Truthsocial

Trump ordered the U.S. Navy to shoot any boats laying mines in the Strait of Hormuz and directed minesweeping operations to triple in intensity. The UK and France separately convened military planners from more than 30 countries to discuss reopening the strait to commercial shipping.

U.S., Iran Clash Over Strait of Hormuz Tankers

U.S., Iran Clash Over Strait of Hormuz Tankers

The Controversies

Khamenei

Pezeshkian

Hasan

Ritter

Monitor

Netanyahu

Esfandiary

Crisis24

ISW

Brodsky

Vatanka

Press

Wolfenstein

Affairs

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U.S., Iran Clash Over Strait of Hormuz Tankers

U.S., Iran Clash Over Strait of Hormuz Tankers

The Controversies

Khamenei

Pezeshkian

Hasan

Ritter

Monitor

Netanyahu

Esfandiary

Crisis24

ISW

Brodsky

Vatanka

Press

Wolfenstein

Affairs

Go Deeper

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