Rubio's surge from 3% to 35% at CPAC isn't just a number — it's a signal that the 2028 race has a real second contender. As Secretary of State, Rubio has championed American values abroad without the baggage of being seen as soft on military action, giving him an edge Vance simply can't match. Evangelicals are locking in, and if Trump weighs in, this race flips fast.
Vance still won CPAC — and the poll's other findings make clear the MAGA base is firmly behind the Iran war, with 89% backing military force against the Iranian regime. The so-called "fissures" are overblown; antiwar voices like Bannon collapsed from 12% to near zero in the straw poll. CPAC 2026 showed a movement that's debating tactics, not fracturing at its core.
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