Betting on Algeria for energy security is a gamble Italy can’'t afford — Algeria already consumes about half of its output, and demand grew another 7% last year, tightening export capacity. That leaves limited volumes for partners like Italy. Meanwhile, Italy’s renewable capacity shrank in 2025 while gridlock stalls around 150GW150 gigawatts of projects. Chasing more Algerian gas looks less like a strategy and more like a short-term political fix that ignores deeper structural issues.