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Close all US bases or face attack: Irans new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei issues stark warning to region

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“A collapse appears unlikely for now.”

"The collapse of the Iranian government remains unlikely in the near term."

"Our core assumption is that the regime will survive as long as its leaders and security forces retain the ability and willingness to suppress domestic unrest."

It's "unclear if the demonstrations would unseat the leadership, pointing to the sheer depth and resilience of Iran's repressive apparatus."

"It's going to take a few different ingredients for the regime to fall," including "defections in the security services and cracks in the Islamic republic's political elite."

"What this heralds for the Islamic Republic in the near term is neither revolution nor collapse, but rather a slow-motion metastasis that is echoing across the political establishment, the economy, and society."

"Change now looks inevitable; regime collapse is possible but not guaranteed."

"If the regime does not fall this year, it may nonetheless enter a phase of irreversible weakening—one in which future shocks could prove far more difficult to absorb."

"The regime's chances of survival have reached a critical low, and its strategy of perseverance through coercion is being tested by a population that has largely lost faith in the state's ability to govern."

"The plain fact is that the Khamenei regime’s days are numbered."

Will the Current Iranian Government Collapse?

Mojtaba Khamenei, who was <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.verity.news/story/2026/israel-us-strike-iran-as-regional-conflict-escalates">named Iran's new supreme leader on Sunday</a>, had his first message read aloud by a presenter on Thursday. He succeeded his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.verity.news/story/2026/irans-khamenei-killed-in-usisraeli-strikes-on-tehran">who was killed in strikes on Feb. 28</a>.

Mojtaba Khamenei, who was named Iran's new supreme leader on Sunday, had his first message read aloud by a presenter on Thursday. He succeeded his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who was killed in strikes on Feb. 28.

The message attributed to Mojtaba Khamenei stated that Iran "will not refrain from avenging the blood of its martyrs," saying the Strait of Hormuz closure should continue. It also indicated that Iran could open "other fronts if necessary."

The message attributed to Mojtaba Khamenei stated that Iran "will not refrain from avenging the blood of its martyrs," saying the Strait of Hormuz closure should continue. It also indicated that Iran could open "other fronts if necessary."

He demanded the immediate closure of all U.S. military bases in the Middle East, warning that failure to comply would prompt direct attacks. He stated that Iran would "inevitably continue" with attacks on U.S. bases in the region.

He demanded the immediate closure of all U.S. military bases in the Middle East, warning that failure to comply would prompt direct attacks. He stated that Iran would "inevitably continue" with attacks on U.S. bases in the region.

The statement thanked Yemen's Houthis and Lebanon's Hezbollah for "defending the oppressed people of Gaza" and "coming to the aid of the Islamic Republic." He also thanked the Iraqi resistance for their "courage."

The statement thanked Yemen's Houthis and Lebanon's Hezbollah for "defending the oppressed people of Gaza" and "coming to the aid of the Islamic Republic." He also thanked the Iraqi resistance for their "courage."

Khamenei referenced the deadly strike in Minab, where Iranian authorities say 168 people were killed, including around 110 children. He vowed that Iran would not hesitate to "avenge the blood of Iranians" killed during the conflict.

Khamenei referenced the deadly strike in Minab, where Iranian authorities say 168 people were killed, including around 110 children. He vowed that Iran would not hesitate to "avenge the blood of Iranians" killed during the conflict.

Following the statement, the commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps navy pledged to inflict the "harshest blows" on Iran's enemies by keeping the Strait of Hormuz closed. Mojtaba Khamenei's wife, mother, and son have also reportedly died.

Alireza Tangsiri

Following the statement, the commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps navy pledged to inflict the "harshest blows" on Iran's enemies by keeping the Strait of Hormuz closed. Mojtaba Khamenei's wife, mother, and son have also reportedly died.

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Mojtaba Khamenei, who was named Iran's new supreme leader on March 8, had his first message read aloud by a presenter on Thursday. He succeeded his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who was killed in strikes on Feb 28.

Mojtaba Khamenei, who was named Iran's new supreme leader on March 8, had his first message read aloud by a presenter on Thursday. He succeeded his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who was killed in strikes on Feb 28.

The statement thanked Yemen's Houthis and Hezbollah in Lebanon for "defending the oppressed people of Gaza" and "coming to the aid of the Islamic Republic." He also thanked the Iraqi resistance for their "courage."

The statement thanked Yemen's Houthis and Hezbollah in Lebanon for "defending the oppressed people of Gaza" and "coming to the aid of the Islamic Republic." He also thanked the Iraqi resistance for their "courage."

The commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps navy pledged to inflict the "harshest blows" on Iran's enemies by keeping the Strait of Hormuz closed. Mojtaba Khamenei's wife, mother, and son have also reportedly died.

The commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps navy pledged to inflict the "harshest blows" on Iran's enemies by keeping the Strait of Hormuz closed. Mojtaba Khamenei's wife, mother, and son have also reportedly died.

Millions of Iranians united in the streets to pledge allegiance to Ayatollah Seyed Mojtaba Khamenei, demonstrating the nation's unshakable resolve and commitment to the Islamic Revolution. The new Leader's powerful message vows complete revenge for martyred Iranians and promises continued strikes on enemy bases until justice is achieved. Iran's strength lies in its people's faith and unity, which will guarantee victory over aggressors who miscalculated yet again.

Millions of Iranians united in the streets to pledge allegiance to Ayatollah Seyed Mojtaba Khamenei, demonstrating the nation's unshakable resolve and commitment to the Islamic Revolution. The new Leader's powerful message vows complete revenge for martyred Iranians and promises continued strikes on enemy bases until justice is achieved. Iran's strength lies in its people's faith and unity, which will guarantee victory over aggressors who miscalculated yet again.

Ryan Rozbiani

Iran's new Supreme Leader is fighting a war from a hospital bed, critically wounded and possibly in a coma after losing at least one leg in the same strike that killed his father. Mojtaba Khamenei hasn't appeared publicly, with the regime broadcasting statements read by news anchors to cover up his incapacitation. The country now operates on autopilot through decentralized military commands, making the conflict even more dangerous with no conscious leader able to negotiate peace.

Iran's new Supreme Leader is fighting a war from a hospital bed, critically wounded and possibly in a coma after losing at least one leg in the same strike that killed his father. Mojtaba Khamenei hasn't appeared publicly, with the regime broadcasting statements read by news anchors to cover up his incapacitation. The country now operates on autopilot through decentralized military commands, making the conflict even more dangerous with no conscious leader able to negotiate peace.

SolSuit

There is a 26.9% chance Mojtaba Khamenei will be Iran's Supreme Leader on Jan. 1, 2027, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

There is a 26.9% chance Mojtaba Khamenei will be Iran's Supreme Leader on Jan. 1, 2027, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

The Israel-Iran Conflict

The US-Iran Conflict

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Ahmad Al-Rubaye/AFP/Getty Images

Iran's New Leader Vows Revenge, Threatens US Bases

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United States of America

Mojtaba Khamenei's first statement echoes the same rhetoric that defined his father's leadership. This confrontational approach of defiance and proxy mobilization is what progressively escalated Iran's tensions with the United States and Israel, directly contributing to the strikes that killed Ali Khamenei and ignited the current war. By replicating these policies without any shift toward restraint or adaptation, it commits the country to the identical cycle of escalation and isolation that produced the conflict.

Mojtaba Khamenei's first statement echoes the same rhetoric that defined his father's leadership. This confrontational approach of defiance and proxy mobilization is what progressively escalated Iran's tensions with the United States and Israel, directly contributing to the strikes that killed Ali Khamenei and ignited the current war. By replicating these policies without any shift toward restraint or adaptation, it commits the country to the identical cycle of escalation and isolation that produced the conflict.

American Conservative

This statement only adds fuel to reports that Iran's new Supreme Leader is fighting a war from a hospital bed. Mojtaba Khamenei hasn't appeared publicly, with the regime broadcasting statements read by news anchors in an apparent cover up of his incapacitation. The country now operates on autopilot through decentralized military commands, making the conflict even more dangerous with no conscious leader able to negotiate peace.

This statement only adds fuel to reports that Iran's new Supreme Leader is fighting a war from a hospital bed. Mojtaba Khamenei hasn't appeared publicly, with the regime broadcasting statements read by news anchors in an apparent cover up of his incapacitation. The country now operates on autopilot through decentralized military commands, making the conflict even more dangerous with no conscious leader able to negotiate peace.

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