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Will the United States and Iran sign a new agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before 2029?

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"Despite the heightened tensions, a full-scale war [between the U.S. and Iran] remains unlikely in the immediate term."

"Trump has been clear in his desire to resolve the issue diplomatically and avoid war [with Iran] in the Middle East."

"Despite all the hysteria of war, I'm not really seeing that on the horizon."

"It is highly unlikely that Trump will bomb Iran, not least because he vowed on the presidential campaign trail not to drag the United States into a war."

"The potential of some kind of conflict with Iran escalating into a larger regional war is very real, possibly more real than ever."

"The United States now seems close to a direct conflict that Biden (and Iran) have worked hard to avoid."

"[A] full-scale war is hardly inevitable."

"If they [Iran] don't make a deal [with the US], there will be bombing."

Will There Be a US-Iran War?

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"Neither Iran nor Lebanese Hezbollah is at all likely to pursue such a course of action [a full-scale attack on Israel]."

"The fighting will remain contained between Israel and Iran, and will not persist for more than a few weeks."

"An all-out war between Israel and Iran is not inevitable, but it remains a serious risk."

"Israel & US manufactured a fake crisis with Iran that could lead to all-out war."

"There will be an all-out war between Israel and Iran and Iran will successfully disrupt flows through Strait of Hormuz."

"This [a wider Israeli war with Iran] is now more likely."

"[T]he Middle East is an inch away from an all-out war between Israel and Iran."

Will There Be a Full-Scale Israel-Iran War?

US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth confirmed that a US Navy submarine sank an Iranian warship in the Indian Ocean using a Mark 48 torpedo. This marked the first time since World War II that a US submarine had sunk an enemy combatant ship with a torpedo.

US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth confirmed that a US Navy submarine sank an Iranian warship in the Indian Ocean using a Mark 48 torpedo. This marked the first time since World War II that a US submarine had sunk an enemy combatant ship with a torpedo.

The Iranian vessel, identified as the IRIS Dena, was located approximately 40 nautical miles off the southern coast of Sri Lanka when it sank. The ship had participated in a naval drill held in the Bay of Bengal from Feb. 18-25.

The Iranian vessel, identified as the IRIS Dena, was located approximately 40 nautical miles off the southern coast of Sri Lanka when it sank. The ship had participated in a naval drill held in the Bay of Bengal from Feb. 18-25.

Sri Lankan Foreign Minister Vijitha Herath told parliament that 180 people were on board the Iranian vessel at the time of the strike. The Sri Lankan navy received a distress call from the ship early Wednesday morning and launched a search and rescue operation.

Sri Lankan Foreign Minister Vijitha Herath told parliament that 180 people were on board the Iranian vessel at the time of the strike. The Sri Lankan navy received a distress call from the ship early Wednesday morning and launched a search and rescue operation.

Sri Lankan navy spokesman Commander Buddhika Sampath said rescue boats that reached the site did not see the ship and observed only an oil slick and life rafts. At least 32 people were rescued by the Sri Lankan navy and taken to a hospital in Galle.

Sri Lankan navy spokesman Commander Buddhika Sampath said rescue boats that reached the site did not see the ship and observed only an oil slick and life rafts. At least 32 people were rescued by the Sri Lankan navy and taken to a hospital in Galle.

Sri Lanka's deputy foreign minister said at least 80 people were killed in the attack on the frigate. The incident took place outside Sri Lankan territorial waters but within its economic zone, and the country remained committed to providing support.

Sri Lanka's deputy foreign minister said at least 80 people were killed in the attack on the frigate. The incident took place outside Sri Lankan territorial waters but within its economic zone, and the country remained committed to providing support.

The IRIS Dena was a Moudge-class frigate equipped to carry one helicopter and armed with heavy guns, surface-to-air missiles, anti-ship missiles and torpedoes. The vessel was returning to Iran after participating in the MILAN 2026 multinational naval exercises.

The IRIS Dena was a Moudge-class frigate equipped to carry one helicopter and armed with heavy guns, surface-to-air missiles, anti-ship missiles and torpedoes. The vessel was returning to Iran after participating in the MILAN 2026 multinational naval exercises.

US Sub Sinks Iranian Warship, 80 Dead Off Sri Lanka

SubmarineUS attackSub onSinks Iranian shipWarship, near80 Dead Off Sri Lanka

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US Sub Sinks Iranian Warship, 80 Dead Off Sri Lanka

SubmarineUS attackSub onSinks Iranian shipWarship, near80 Dead Off Sri Lanka

The Controversies

SpecialEurasia

Shapiro

Takeyh

Ghaedi

Lobe

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London

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War

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PhD

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Cook

Economist

Go Deeper

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