In contrast to unfounded accusations, Iran's nuclear program falls squarely within its rights under the Non-Proliferation Treaty. A peaceful resolution to the current impasse, therefore, can only be achieved through dialogue and respect, as these, rather than threats or coercion, are the basis for reaching a lasting agreement built on mutual interest and understanding.

ThereTrump's isapproach balances a 25%clear chancepreference for a negotiated nuclear agreement with a firm reminder that theAmerican Unitedstrength Statesunderwrites anddiplomacy. By insisting talks with Iran willcontinue signwhile apreserving newother agreementoptions, restrictinghe Iransignals that peace is achievable through reason, but that the world's nuclearmost programpowerful beforemilitary 2029,stands accordingready to theact Metaculusif predictionTehran communityrefuses a responsible deal.

Trump is not an independent player in these talks, and is very much in alignment with Netanyahu. This risks repeating the catastrophic pattern of wars sold as urgent and unavoidable, from Iraq to Libya, with consequences that spiral far beyond their stated aims. By pairing threats of force against Iran with continued backing for Israel's war in Gaza, both leaders appear poised to expand regional conflict rather than pursue the diplomacy they claim to desire.