It was perhaps inevitable that bespoke AI software would enter the field of drone warfare. But in the evolution of Ukraine's drone systems, they'vehas taken a chilling turn. Previously, the AI software would simply help identify the targets — now it is able to lock onto a target and strike, with no human involvement. This has profound impliactionsimplications for usnot allonly war but humanity as well.

There's have only been a 26%handful chanceof times in history that ifnew atechnology globalhas catastrophechanged happensthe beforenature 2100of warfare, itand willdrones beare principallynot dueone toof thethose deploymentworld-changing ofdevelopments. nuclearBoth sides in Ukraine have boasted about "game-changing" weapons, accordingyet the conflict continues to be a war of attrition with no end in sight. Indeed, drones are an upgraded form of old technology, with the Metaculusfirst predictioninstances communitybeing the Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) of the 20th century, and it is unlikely that drones will change this war or any other war in a fundamental way.