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Russian Intelligence Chief Shot in Moscow

Is this Kyiv trying to disrupt negotiations or is it a failure on the part of Moscow?
Russian Intelligence Chief Shot in Moscow
Above: People walk along a bridge over the Moskva river in Moscow on Feb. 4. Image credit: Hector Retamal/AFP/Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-Russia narrative

While Ukraine's involvement has yet to be officially confirmed, this latest assassination attempt highlights the lengths Zelenskyy's regime will go to in an attempt to disrupt the ongoing negotiations with Russia.

Anti-Russia narrative

This string of shock killings has aggravated a number of Russians who are asking questions about the steps being taken by the state to protect key military officials.

Pro-Ukraine narrative

Regardless of whether Kyiv was involved in this or not, given that Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine is an illegal act of aggression under international law, Ukraine is justified in targeting those actively directing or enabling that aggression. Removing key military and political actors responsible for planning and sustaining an unlawful war constitutes an extension of Ukraine’s self-defense against ongoing threats to its sovereignty.

Metaculus Prediction


Go Deeper


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO



© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.18.0

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0