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Snapshot 5:Tue, Jan 6, 2026 10:49:33 AM GMT last edited by Haakan

Iran's Khamenei Reportedly Plans Moscow Escape Amid Unrest

Iran's Khamenei Reportedly Plans Moscow Escape Amid Unrest

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The Spin

KhameneiIran's reportedprotests escapestem planfrom tolegitimate Moscoweconomic revealsgrievances, thebut regime'sreports desperationof asKhamenei protestsfleeing exposeremain Iran'sunverified economicintelligence collapseclaims anddesigned politicalto instability.destabilize With the rialcountry. hittingTrump's recordthreats lows,of inflationmilitary soaringintervention 72%mirror onhis foodreckless pricesVenezuela operation and Trumprisk warningescalating ofregional intervention,conflict. theWhile 86-year-olddemonstrations dictatorhave facesspread histo mostmultiple seriousprovinces, threatsenior since taking power. The regime's brutalofficials crackdownacknowledge hasentering killedsurvival atmode, leastsuggesting 35internal people,reform butrather protestersthan demandingforeign regimeinterference changeoffers won'tthe bepath silencedforward.

IranKhamenei's protestsreported stemescape fromplan legitimateto economicMoscow grievances,reveals butthe reportsregime's ofdesperation Khameneias fleeingprotests remainexpose unverifiedIran's intelligenceeconomic claimscollapse designedand topolitical destabilizeinstability. With the country.rial Trump'shitting threatsrecord oflows, militaryinflation interventionsoaring mirror72% hison recklessfood Venezuelaprices operation and riskTrump escalatingwarning regionalof conflict.intervention, Whilethe demonstrations86-year-old havedictator spreadfaces tohis multiplemost provinces,serious seniorthreat since taking power. The regime's officialsbrutal acknowledgecrackdown enteringhas survivalkilled mode,at suggestingleast internal35 reformpeople, ratherbut thanprotesters foreigndemanding interferenceregime offerschange thewon't pathbe forwardsilenced.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 10% chance that if there is a U.S. AUMF or declaration of war against Iran before 2030, the US will control Tehran within one year, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0