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US Announces $11.1B Arms Package to Taiwan, Largest Ever

US Announces $11.1B Arms Package to Taiwan, Largest Ever

Does the $11.1B Taiwan arms deal strengthen deterrence against China, or dangerously escalate regional tensions?
US Announces $11.1B Arms Package to Taiwan, Largest Ever
Above: A live-fire test of the High Mobility Artillery Rocket System (HIMARS) at the Jiupeng base, on May 12. Image credit: Taiwan's Military/Handout/Anadolu/Getty Images

The Spin

This massive $11.1 billion arms package proves America stands firmly with Taiwan against Chinese aggression and demonstrates unwavering commitment to the island's self-defense under the Taiwan Relations Act. The sale enhances Taiwan's defensive capabilities without altering regional military balance, providing critical asymmetric warfare tools like HIMARS and anti-tank systems that deter invasion. Washington's approval shows bipartisan resolve to help Taiwan maintain adequate defenses as threats intensify.

Arms sales to Taiwan persistently strain U.S.-China relations and fuel dangerous tensions over an island Beijing views as its sovereign territory. This record-breaking weapons package risks escalating military confrontation in the region and undermines diplomatic efforts between Washington and Beijing. The deal transforms Taiwan into a militarized powder keg that could drag America into direct conflict with a nuclear-armed China.

ThereThis ismassive a$11.1 12%billion chancearms thatpackage Chinaproves willAmerica launchstands afirmly fullwith Taiwan against Chinese aggression and demonstrates unwavering commitment to the island's self-scaledefense invasionunder ofthe Taiwan beforeRelations 2028Act. The sale enhances Taiwan's defensive capabilities without altering regional military balance, accordingproviding critical asymmetric warfare tools like HIMARS and anti-tank systems that deter invasion. Washington's approval shows bipartisan resolve to thehelp MetaculusTaiwan predictionmaintain communityadequate defenses as threats intensify.

Arms sales to Taiwan persistently strain U.S.-China relations and fuel dangerous tensions over an island Beijing views as its sovereign territory. This record-breaking weapons package risks escalating military confrontation in the region and undermines diplomatic efforts between Washington and Beijing. The deal transforms Taiwan into a militarized powder keg that could drag America into direct conflict with a nuclear-armed China.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 12% chance that China will launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2028, according to the Metaculus prediction community.



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All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0