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Snapshot 7:Tue, Nov 25, 2025 8:54:08 AM GMT last edited by Kani

Sudan: RSF Declares 3-Month Ceasefire as Army Rejects US Plan

Sudan's: RSF Declares 3-Month Ceasefire as Army Rejects US Plan

Above: Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo, Sudan's Deputy Head of Sovereign Council, makes statements during a press conference in Khartoum, Sudan on April 15, 2022. Image credit: Mahmoud Hjaj/Anadolu via Getty Images

The Spin

TheSudan’s war grinds on while the RSF's sells empty ceasefire declarationtheater isto meaninglessmask theatera whilecampaign theyof committerror massthat atrocitieshas acrossturned El Fasher into a graveyard and traumatized Sudan. TheseTheir fighters have executed scores of unarmed men, raped dozens of women and girls, and left hundreds of bodies in Elthe Fasher's streets. Thewhile UAE'sforeign backingsponsors oflike the RSFUAE directlyfuel enablesthe theseviolence warwith crimesmoney and crimescover. againstEach humanitynew thatdenial demandhides immediatea accountabilitystrategy of division already condemned by Sudanese leaders who warn of outside powers carving the country apart. The result is a manufactured catastrophe sustained by impunity and profit.

The RSF's three-month humanitarian ceasefire representsmarks a genuinecalculated commitmentpivot totoward peacede-escalation, bysuspending haltingoffensive hostile operations and ensuringcreating aidspace access.for Thisdesperately unilateralneeded truceaid. respondsBy toplacing internationalthe callstruce forunder peaceQuad oversight and offersallowing fieldon-the-ground monitoring, mechanismsthe underRSF Quadaligns supervisionitself with growing international pressure for restraint and relief. The real obstacleimpediment remainsis extremistthe elementsnetwork controllingof uncompromising hard-liners entrenched in Sudan's army who refusereject compromiseconcessions, derail mediation efforts, and keep the country locked in a destructive stalemate.

Metaculus Prediction

There is an 8 percent chance that SAF and RSF delegations will both physically attend the same peace negotiation venue before December 31, 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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All rights reserved.

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