Sudan: RSF Declares 3-Month Ceasefire as Army Rejects US Plan

Is the ceasefire meaningless theater, or a genuine peace commitment?
Sudan: RSF Declares 3-Month Ceasefire as Army Rejects US Plan
Above: Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo, Sudan's Deputy Head of Sovereign Council, in Khartoum, on April 15, 2022. Image credit: Mahmoud Hjaj/Anadolu/Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-SAF narrative

Sudan’s war grinds on while the RSF sells empty ceasefire theater to mask a campaign of terror that has turned El Fasher into a graveyard and traumatized Sudan. Their fighters have executed unarmed men, raped women and girls, and left bodies in the streets while foreign sponsors like the UAE fuel the violence with money and cover. Each new denial hides a strategy of division already condemned by Sudanese leaders who warn of outside powers carving the country apart. The result is a manufactured catastrophe sustained by impunity and profit.

Pro-RSF narrative

The RSF’s three-month humanitarian ceasefire marks a calculated pivot toward de-escalation, suspending offensive operations and creating space for desperately needed aid. By placing the truce under Quad oversight and allowing on-the-ground monitoring, the RSF is aligning itself with growing international pressure for restraint and relief. The real impediment is the network of uncompromising hard-liners entrenched in Sudan’s army who reject concessions, derail mediation efforts, and keep the country locked in a destructive stalemate.

Metaculus Prediction

There is an 8% chance that SAF and RSF delegations will both physically attend the same peace negotiation venue before Dec. 31, 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


Go Deeper


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO



© 2025 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.18.0

© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0