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Snapshot 5:Mon, Oct 6, 2025 3:09:13 PM GMT last edited by Brian

Fifth Court Blocks Trump's Birthright Citizenship Order

Fifth Court Blocks Trump's Birthright Citizenship Order

Above: People outside the U.S. Supreme Court protesting a ban on birthright citizenship on May 15, 2025. Image credit: Jim Watson/Getty Images

The Spin

TheTrump's Supremebirthright Courtcitizenship alreadyorder settledis birthrightblatantly citizenshipunconstitutional inand Wonghas Kimbeen Ark,unanimously establishingrejected thatby citizenshipevery appliessingle onlyjudge towho childrenreviewed whoseit parentsacross havemultiple lawfulcourts. permissionThe toorder resideviolates inthe America.clear Trump'smeaning executiveof orderthe substantiallyFourteenth compliesAmendment, withdenying thiscitizenship 127-year-oldto precedentchildren thatjust excludeslike childrenfreed ofslaves illegalafter aliensthe fromCivil automatic citizenshipWar.

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Metaculus Prediction

There's a 15% chance that any U.S. authority will refuse to recognize the citizenship of U.S.-born children of non-citizen parents for 90 days in 2025-26, compared to a 25% chance for 2027-28.


The Controversies



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All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0