Controversy

+11

Status:Resolved

Will SCOTUS Overturn Birthright Citizenship?

Resolution:

No.

Resolved on Jun 20, 2026

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Claims

Last Updated 2 weeks ago

Jeremiah Johnson"Prediction: SCOTUS rules 8-1 against Trump in the birthright citizenship case, with the one being Alito."Apr 16, 2026

Raw Egg Nationalist"I've got a big bet placed that Amy Coney Barratt, with two adopted Haitian children, will cast the deciding vote to prevent birthright citizenship being revoked."Apr 16, 2026

Federal News Network"This executive order will be struck down."Mar 31, 2026

Federal News Network

Polymarket"93% chance SCOTUS strikes down Trump's birthright citizenship EO."Apr 16, 2026

Polymarket

Ilan Wurman"When they [SCOTUS] finally consider this question, the justices will find that the case for Mr. Trump’s order is stronger than his critics realize."

Christopher Couillard"Likely outcome: Pressure data and reporting point to a 6-3 or 7-2 decision against the order, with Justices Thomas and Alito as the most likely to support the administration (and Barrett potentially as a swing)."Apr 16, 2026

The New York Times"Members of the court’s conservative majority consider themselves originalists, and it has caused some conservative scholars to conclude that they [SCOTUS] may not view the arguments against birth citizenship as obscure or fringe theories [and may treat them as part of mainstream constitutional debate]."Apr 16, 2026

New York Times

Donald Trump"I just think that we'll end up winning that in the Supreme Court. I think we're going to win that case. I look forward to winning it."Jan 31, 2025

The Economic Times

Glenn Kirschner"New Supreme Court Ruling WILL NOT Help Trump Cancel Constitutional Birthright Citizenship Guarantee."Jul 27, 2025

AF Post"A majority of justices appear poised to rein in broad injunctions but unlikely to overturn the 14th Amendment precedent."Jul 27, 2025

Jim Banks"SCOTUS should uphold President Trump’s order & END this abuse for good!"Apr 16, 2026

Disgraced Propagandist"I listened to the entire birthright citizenship oral arguments in front of the Supreme Court and it's clear to me given my legal training that the court will strike down Trump's EO due to the complexities of the 14th amendment and common law."Apr 16, 2026

Brad Lee Barnhill"I expect the Supreme Court will strike down this EO as executive overreach—the President can't unilaterally rewrite the 14th Amendment."Apr 16, 2026

Stephen Yale-Loehr"Although the Supreme Court has been very deferential to President Trump so far on immigration issues, I predict that the Court will uphold birthright citizenship and declare President Trump’s efforts to restrict it illegal."Dec 05, 2025

Cornell