United Nations

IAEA / IRAN AGREEMENT

Iran and nuclear watchdog sign agreement seeking path to restart cooperation

The Jerusalem Post

Iran agrees to deal on IAEA inspection of nuclear sites

The Guardian

UN inspectors can resume work at Iran nuclear sites after breakthrough deal

Newsmax

UN Nuclear Chief Says Agreement Provides for Access to All of Iran's Nuclear Facilities

The Independent

UN nuclear chief says agreement provides for access to all of Iran's nuclear facilities

washingtontimes.com

Iran Agrees Resume Nuclear Inspections Bid Avoid Sanctions

IAEA Chief: Iran Inspection Deal Step in Right Direction

Iran, IAEA nuclear deal still unclear on inspections

Metaculus

South China Morning Post

Iran and UN nuclear watchdog pave way for resuming cooperation

The Times of Israel

Iran Agrees On New Cooperation Framework With Un Nuclear Watchdog

Iran International

Iran, UN nuclear watchdog reach agreement on resuming inspections

Tehran Times

Iran decides to resume cooperation with IAEA

Iranwire

144711 Iran Iaea Deal A Fragile Fix For Nuclear Standoff

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Atlantic Council

Negar Mortazavi

J Street

Abbas Araghchi

Michael Rubin

Daniel Shapiro

Kenneth Katzman

Alexander Langlois

Jim Lobe

Jean-Noel Barrot

Mohammed Ghaedi

Beto O Rourke

Ray Takeyh

Douglas London

SpecialEurasia

Ray McGovern

"Despite the heightened tensions, a full-scale war [between the U.S. and Iran] remains unlikely in the immediate term."

"Trump has been clear in his desire to resolve the issue diplomatically and avoid war [with Iran] in the Middle East."

"Despite all the hysteria of war, I'm not really seeing that on the horizon."

"It is highly unlikely that Trump will bomb Iran, not least because he vowed on the presidential campaign trail not to drag the United States into a war."

"The potential of some kind of conflict with Iran escalating into a larger regional war is very real, possibly more real than ever."

"The United States now seems close to a direct conflict that Biden (and Iran) have worked hard to avoid."

"[A] full-scale war is hardly inevitable."

"If they [Iran] don't make a deal [with the US], there will be bombing."

Will There Be a US-Iran War?

The Institute for the Study of War

CSIS

The Economist

Imad Salamey

Ahmed Fouad Alkhatib

Fitch Ratings

Esmaeil Baghaei

Steven Cook

Samih Maaitah

Hakan Fidan

Abiola Falayajo Jr.

James Jos. Kroeger

Prof. Paul Brown, PhD

James A. Kostohryz

Kenneth Pollack

"Neither Iran nor Lebanese Hezbollah is at all likely to pursue such a course of action [a full-scale attack on Israel]."

"The fighting will remain contained between Israel and Iran, and will not persist for more than a few weeks."

"An all-out war between Israel and Iran is not inevitable, but it remains a serious risk."

"Israel & US manufactured a fake crisis with Iran that could lead to all-out war."

"There will be an all-out war between Israel and Iran and Iran will successfully disrupt flows through Strait of Hormuz."

"This [a wider Israeli war with Iran] is now more likely."

"[T]he Middle East is an inch away from an all-out war between Israel and Iran."

Will There Be a Full-Scale Israel-Iran War?

Rand Paul

Rashida Tlaib

Nikema Williams

Jonathan Turley

Richard Painter

American Civil Liberties Union

Ro Khanna

Greg Steube

"The president cannot circumvent congressional war powers and unilaterally send US troops to war with Iran."

"You can't have a president just beginning a war on his own [without congressional approval]."

"President Trump has full constitutional authority to take military action against Iran's nuclear program without a formal declaration of war."

"History and precedent favour Trump in this action [authorize airstrikes in Iran without requesting permission from Congress]."

"I do [have the authority to declare war on Iran without Congress approval]."

Will Trump Bypass the US Congress and Declare War on Iran?

Marco Rubio

J.D. Vance

Rafael Mariano Grossi

John Ratcliffe

Tulsi Gabbard

Nicholas L. Miller

Spencer Faragasso

Darya Dolzikova

Andrea Stricker

Sean Parnell

David Albright

Israel Atomic Energy Commission

"If it [the stockpile of enriched uranium] is intact and Iran is able to keep it that way, they could potentially use it in a new covert enrichment facility to produce material for several nuclear weapons in a matter of months."

"I can say to the American people with great confidence that they [Iranians] are much further away from a nuclear program today than they were 24 hours ago."

"Our nuclear installations have been badly damaged, that's for sure."

"Israel's and U.S. attacks have effectively destroyed Iran's centrifuge enrichment program."

"The American strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities, combined with Israeli strikes on other elements of Iran's military nuclear program, has set back Iran's ability to develop nuclear weapons by many years."

"Iran's key nuclear enrichment facilities have been completely and totally obliterated."

Have US Strikes Set Back Iran's Nuclear Program?

Iran and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) signed an agreement on Tuesday in Cairo to resume nuclear inspections at all Iranian facilities, including <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.verity.news/story/2025/trump-orders-strikes-on-iran-nuclear-sites-amid-rising-tensions">sites bombed by Israel and the U.S.</a> in June during <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.verity.news/story/2025/israeliran-ceasefire-holds-as-iran-suspends-nuclear-watchdog-ties">a 12-day conflict</a>.

Iran and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) signed an agreement on Tuesday in Cairo to resume nuclear inspections at all Iranian facilities, including sites bombed by Israel and the U.S. in June during a 12-day conflict.

The agreement was reached between IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, and the latter's Egyptian counterpart Badr Abdelatty in Cairo. Grossi said it provides for "an understanding" of the procedures of inspection notifications and implementation.

The agreement was reached between IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, and the latter's Egyptian counterpart Badr Abdelatty in Cairo. Grossi said it provides for "an understanding" of the procedures of inspection notifications and implementation.

However, Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi warned that Iran would consider the IAEA agreement null and void if any hostile actions occur against Iran, including the reimposition of UN Security Council sanctions resolutions.

However, Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi warned that Iran would consider the IAEA agreement null and void if any hostile actions occur against Iran, including the reimposition of UN Security Council sanctions resolutions.

As of June 13, Iran possessed 440.9 kilograms of <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.verity.news/story/2025/irans-nearweapons-grade-uranium-stock-surges-amid-tensions">uranium enriched up to 60% purity</a>, which, if further enriched to 90% would be sufficient material for 10 nuclear weapons, according to IAEA calculations.

As of June 13, Iran possessed 440.9 kilograms of uranium enriched up to 60% purity, which, if further enriched to 90% would be sufficient material for 10 nuclear weapons, according to IAEA calculations.

Iran's parliament had passed a law in July suspending all cooperation with the IAEA following the June attacks, requiring future inspections to be approved by Iran's Supreme National Security Council.

Iran's parliament had passed a law in July suspending all cooperation with the IAEA following the June attacks, requiring future inspections to be approved by Iran's Supreme National Security Council.

France, Germany, and the U.K. initiated a snapback sanctions process on Aug. 28, setting a 30-day deadline for Iran to comply with inspection demands or face reimposed UN sanctions from the 2015 nuclear deal.

France, Germany, and the U.K. initiated a snapback sanctions process on Aug. 28, setting a 30-day deadline for Iran to comply with inspection demands or face reimposed UN sanctions from the 2015 nuclear deal.

United Nations #

NPR #

The Jerusalem Post #

The Guardian #3119

Newsmax #

The Independent #4723

washingtontimes.com #

Metaculus #

South China Morning Post #

The Times of Israel #

Iran International #

Tehran Times #

Iranwire #

The agreement was reached between IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, and the latter's Egyptian counterpart Badr Abdelatty in Cairo. Grossi said it "provides for a clear understanding" of the procedures of inspection notifications and implementation.

The agreement was reached between IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, and the latter's Egyptian counterpart Badr Abdelatty in Cairo. Grossi said it "provides for a clear understanding" of the procedures of inspection notifications and implementation.

The IAEA-Iran deal marks a crucial breakthrough, rescuing nuclear cooperation from the brink of collapse. Despite devastating attacks that obliterated key facilities and killed dozens of scientists, both sides demonstrated remarkable restraint and pragmatism. This hard-won deal offers genuine hope for restored inspections and renewed dialogue in a volatile regional landscape.

The IAEA-Iran deal marks a crucial breakthrough, rescuing nuclear cooperation from the brink of collapse. Despite devastating attacks that obliterated key facilities and killed dozens of scientists, both sides demonstrated remarkable restraint and pragmatism. This hard-won deal offers genuine hope for restored inspections and renewed dialogue in a volatile regional landscape.

www.ft.com

UN and Iran take ‘important step’ towards restarting nuclear inspections

The IAEA-Iran agreement has devolved into a diplomatic farce, with contradictory statements exposing its fundamental hollowness. While Grossi proclaimed "complete" access restored, Iran's foreign minister immediately gutted these claims, reducing the deal to mere theater. This charade offers no real progress, leaving the nuclear standoff as murky and unresolved as ever.

The IAEA-Iran agreement has devolved into a diplomatic farce, with contradictory statements exposing its fundamental hollowness. While Grossi proclaimed "complete" access restored, Iran's foreign minister immediately gutted these claims, reducing the deal to mere theater. This charade offers no real progress, leaving the nuclear standoff as murky and unresolved as ever.

Al Jazeera

Al Jazeera #3527

Iran and UN appear at odds over nuclear deal

There's a 2.1% chance that Iran will possess a nuclear weapon before 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

There's a 2.1% chance that Iran will possess a nuclear weapon before 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Iran, UN Nuclear Watchdog Agree to Resume Inspections

Iran, UN Nuclear Watchdog Agree to Resume Inspections

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Iran, UN Nuclear Watchdog Agree to Resume Inspections

Iran, UN Nuclear Watchdog Agree to Resume Inspections

The Spin

Metaculus Prediction

The Controversies

SpecialEurasia

Shapiro

Takeyh

Ghaedi

Lobe

Council

London

Trump

War

Ratings

Jr.

PhD

Kostohryz

Cook

Economist

Tlaib

Paul

Steube

Turley

Trump

Miller

Vance

Baghaei

Albright

Commission

Trump

Go Deeper

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