South Korea's military downsizing is an indication of smart modernization rather than weakness. Advanced technology and stronger U.S. partnerships mean fewer troops can accomplish more than larger forces of the past. The defense budget now exceeds North Korea's entire economy, showing superior resource allocation.
This demographic crisis threatens national security when facing a 1.2 million-strong North Korean military. The 50,000 troop shortage, including 21,000 missing officers, creates dangerous operational gaps that technology cannot fill. Population projections show this will only worsen.
There is a 20% chance that North and South Korea will be at war before 2050, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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