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Iran Resumes Nuclear Talks With Europe Amid Sanctions Threat

Above: A building bearing an anti-U.S. mural with the slogan "Down with the USA" and skulls replacing the stars on the U.S. flag, on Tehran's Karim Khan Zand avenue on April 26, 2025. Image copyright: ATTA KENARE/AFP/Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-Trump narrative

Trump's bold exit from the flawed 2015 deal and his unapologetic "maximum pressure" campaign shattered illusions of appeasement. Now, despite fiery rhetoric, Tehran is back at the table — proof that strength compels results. Where patience failed, resolve delivered. By demanding total dismantlement, Trump has dragged Iran to talks on terms that might actually ensure peace, not just delay conflict.

Anti-Trump narrative

Trump shattered a functioning nuclear accord, crushed Iran's moderates, emboldened hardliners, and pushed Tehran closer to weapons-grade uranium — all while claiming to prevent exactly that. His reckless exit from the JCPOA didn’t forge peace through strength; it fractured diplomacy through ego. Now, we face a region more volatile, a nuclear threat more real, and trust harder than ever to rebuild.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 1% chance the U.S. and Iran will sign an agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before September 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


Public Figures


The Controversies



Go Deeper


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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