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Snapshot 7:Mon, Jul 7, 2025 1:48:16 PM GMT last edited by ArthursSeat22

Iran Deports Nearly 450K Afghans Amid Regional Crisis

Iran Deports Nearly 450K Afghans Amid Regional Crisis

Above: Fatima holds her daughter in the village of Andisha, Guzara district, Herat province on July 5, 2025. Image copyright: Elise Blanchard/Getty Images

The Spin

Iran's brutal deportation of over 450,000 Afghans in 2025 represents a callous betrayal of decades-long hospitality, stripping 2 million of legal protections and forcing families into Taliban-controlled territory. This unconscionable crackdown violates international law, separates children from schools, and condemns vulnerable refugees to destitution a shameful culmination of systemic persecution masquerading as migration management.

Iran's mass deportation of undocumented Afghans reflects legitimate national security imperatives amid escalating regional threats and espionage concerns. After hosting over four million refugees for decades while facing crippling sanctions and Israeli attacks, Iran cannot indefinitely shoulder Afghanistan's humanitarian burden alone. Protecting sovereignty and stability isn't cruelty — it's responsible governance amid mounting challenges.

ThereIran's isbrutal deportation of over 450,000 Afghans in 2025 represents a 42.1%callous chancebetrayal Talibanof decades-controlledlong Afghanistanhospitality, willstripping be2 usedmillion asof alegal baseprotections forand antiforcing families into Taliban-NATOcontrolled terrorismterritory. beforeThis 2027unconscionable crackdown violates international law, accordingseparates children from schools, and condemns vulnerable refugees to thedestitution Metaculus predictiona communityshameful culmination of systemic persecution masquerading as migration management.

Iran's mass deportation of undocumented Afghans reflects legitimate national security imperatives amid escalating regional threats and espionage concerns. After hosting over four million refugees for decades while facing crippling sanctions and Israeli attacks, Iran cannot indefinitely shoulder Afghanistan's humanitarian burden alone. Protecting sovereignty and stability isn't cruelty — it's responsible governance amid mounting challenges.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 42% chance that Taliban-controlled Afghanistan will be used as a base for anti-NATO terrorism before 2027, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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