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EU Proposes 90% Emissions Cut by 2040 Amid Political Divisions

EU Proposes 90% Emissions Cut by 2040 Amid Political Divisions

Above: People try to cool off in public fountains in Berlin, Germany on July 2, 2025. Image copyright: Halil Sagirkaya/Anadolu/Getty Images

The Spin

The 90% emissions target represents pragmatic leadership that balances climate ambition with economic reality. The flexibility to use international carbon credits creates opportunities to build bridges with developing nations while maintaining industrial competitiveness during challenging geopolitical times.

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Metaculus Prediction

There's a 50% chance that the 2˚C climate threshold will be crossed by 2043, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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