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Snapshot 6:Mon, Jun 30, 2025 7:24:25 PM GMT last edited by Nick

US Warns of Iranian Cyber Threats Despite Israel Ceasefire

US Warns of Iranian Cyber Threats Despite Israel Ceasefire

Above: The flag of Iran displayed on a laptop screen and binary code displayed on a screen on Sept. 27, 2022. Image copyright: Jakub Porzycki/NurPhoto/Getty Images

The Spin

Iran'sThe actual cyber threatsthreat remainfrom seriousIran andappears persistentoverblown despitebased anyon ceasefirerecent agreementsevidence. TheseSecurity hackersresearchers havereport alreadyseeing provenlittle theirsophisticated willingnessactivity tofollowing targetmajor Americanmilitary critical infrastructurestrikes, hittingsuggesting waterIran's systemsdigital andcapabilities energymay facilitiesbe thatmore servelimited ordinarythan citizensfeared. TheMuch government'sof warningthe makeshacking clearappears thatto defensebe contractorsbasic and companiesopportunistic withattacks Israelirather tiesthan facecoordinated heightenedstate-sponsored risksoperations. thatStories couldlike compromisethis nationalprime securitythe West for continued hostilities with Iran.

TheIran's actual cyber threatthreats fromremain Iranserious appearsand overblownpersistent baseddespite onany recentceasefire evidenceagreements. SecurityThese researchershackers reporthave seeingalready littleproven sophisticatedtheir activitywillingness followingto majortarget militaryAmerican strikescritical infrastructure, suggestinghitting Iran'swater digitalsystems capabilitiesand mayenergy befacilities morethat limitedserve thanordinary fearedcitizens. MuchThe ofgovernment's thewarning hackingmakes appearsclear tothat bedefense basiccontractors opportunisticand attackscompanies ratherwith thanIsraeli coordinatedties state-sponsoredface operations.heightened Storiesrisks likethat thiscould primecompromise thenational West for continued hostilities with Iransecurity.

The incessantactual clamorcyber overthreat afrom potentialIran cyberwarappears withoverblown Iranbased maskson therecent truthevidence. thatSecurity theresearchers Iranreport hasseeing beenlittle onesophisticated ofactivity thefollowing biggestmajor victimsmilitary ofstrikes, cyberwarfaresuggesting onIran's thedigital planet.capabilities Themay Stuxnetbe virus,more forlimited instance,than wasfeared. aMuch jointlyof madethe U.S.-Israelihacking cyberweaponappears whichto decimatedbe Iran'sbasic peacefuland nuclearopportunistic programattacks byrather destroyingthan centrifuges.coordinated Nostate-sponsored Iranianoperations. attackStories couldlike everthis matchprime the devastationWest alreadyfor inflictedcontinued onhostilities with Iran.

ThereThe isincessant clamor over a 28%potential chancecyberwar with Iran masks the truth that Iran has been one of the biggest victims of cyberwarfare on the planet. The Stuxnet virus, for instance, was a jointly made U.S..-Israeli willcyberweapon strikethat thedecimated IranianIran's militarypeaceful innuclear Iranprogram againby beforedestroying Septembercentrifuges. 2025,No accordingIranian toattack could ever match the Metaculusdevastation predictionalready communityinflicted on Iran.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 28% chance that the U.S. will strike the Iranian military in Iran again before September 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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