Ukraine, Council of Europe Sign Accord for Russia War Tribunal
The Spin
Pro-establishment narrative
This Tribunal represents a historic step toward accountability for Russia's unprovoked aggression against Ukraine. The international community cannot allow Putin and his cronies to escape justice for launching an illegal war that has caused immense suffering. While the ICC handles war crimes, this new court fills a critical gap by targeting the fundamental decision to invade a sovereign nation.
Establishment-critical narrative
The Council of Europe's new tribunal, intended to address the crime of aggression against Ukraine, faces significant legal hurdles. These include jurisdictional challenges, potential conflicts with national laws and international conventions, and practical difficulties in enforcing its rulings, particularly concerning immunity for high-ranking Russian officials.
Metaculus Prediction
There is a 50% chance Vladimir Putin will cease to hold the office of President of Russia by January 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
