The Latest: Israeli airstrikes reach into Iranian city of Rasht
Associated Press4 days
Iran-Europe Talks Yield No Breakthrough
Iran-Europe Talks Yield No Breakthrough
Above: Foreign ministers from Germany, the U.K., France, and the EU speak to the press following talks with the Iranian Foreign Minister in Geneva, Switzerland, on June 19, 2025. Image copyright: Fabrice Coffrini/AFP/Getty Images
The Spin
Western diplomacy must prioritize de-escalation with Iran, engaging in good-faith talks to curb its nuclear ambitions while avoiding catastrophic war. However, it must also remain prepared for the possibility of military action. Iran must recognize that the U.S. maintains uncontested air superiority in the region and that any attack on American civilians or military personnel will result in severe repercussions.
The time for negotiations with Iran's Mullah regime is over. With assassination plots against Trump and threats to annihilate Israel, Iran's nuclear ambitions — nearing 10 bombs' worth of uranium — demand decisive action. Israel's strikes have weakened Iran, but only U.S. bunker-busters can finish the job. Trump must act now to end this existential threat and prevent a nuclear Middle East.
Israel's unprovoked attack on Iran, followed by continued bombardments despite ongoing negotiations, reveals it as the sole aggressor. Ignoring evidence that Iran halted its nuclear weapons program in 2003, Israel's strikes aim to provoke regime change, not defense. Its nuclear arsenal and U.S. support enable this aggression, destabilizing the region while Iran rallies in unity. Negotiations, not U.S. intervention, are the path forward.
Western diplomacy must prioritize de-escalation with Iran, engaging in good-faith talks to curb its nuclear ambitions while avoiding catastrophic war. However, it must also remain prepared for the possibility of military action. Iran must recognize that the U.S. maintains uncontested air superiority in the region and that any attack on American civilians or military personnel will result in severe repercussions.
The time for negotiations with Iran's Mullah regime is over. With assassination plots against Trump and threats to annihilate Israel, Iran's nuclear ambitions — nearing 10 bombs' worth of uranium — demand decisive action. Israel's strikes have weakened Iran, but only U.S. bunker-busters can finish the job. Trump must act now to end this existential threat and prevent a nuclear Middle East.
Israel's unprovoked attack on Iran, followed by continued bombardments despite ongoing negotiations, reveals it as the sole aggressor. Ignoring evidence that Iran halted its nuclear weapons program in 2003, Israel's strikes aim to provoke regime change, not defense. Its nuclear arsenal and U.S. support enable this aggression, destabilizing the region while Iran rallies in unity. Negotiations, not U.S. intervention, are the path forward.
Metaculus Prediction
There is an 80% chance that the United States will strike the Iranian military in Iran before August 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.