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Snapshot 3:Sun, Jun 8, 2025 2:11:22 PM GMT last edited by Vandita

Iran Claims Its Spy Operation Seized Israeli Nuclear Files

Iran Claims MajorIts IntelligenceSpy BreachOperation ofSeized Israeli Nuclear Files

Iran Claims Its Spy Operation Seized Israeli Nuclear Files
Above: An Iranian cleric shouts slogans against the U.S. and Israel as he stands next to Palestinian flags outside the holy mosque of Jamkaran, south of Tehran, on April 15, 2025. Image credit: Morteza Nikoubazl/Contributor/NurPhoto via Getty Images

The Spin

Iran successfully penetrated Israel's unsubstantiatedmost claimssensitive representnuclear desperatesecrets, propagandaexposing designedthe tohypocrisy deflectof froma itsregime ownthat nuclearpossesses violationsundeclared andatomic upcomingweapons internationalwhile censurecriticizing others. TheThis timingintelligence coincidescoup suspiciouslydemonstrates withIran's IAEAsophisticated meetingscapabilities and failedreveals nuclearIsrael's negotiations,vulnerability suggestingdespite aits calculatedadvanced disinformationsecurity campaignapparatus. WithoutThe evidencetiming orperfectly Israelicounters acknowledgment,Western thesepressure assertionson appearIran's tonuclear beprogram fabricatedby attemptshighlighting to shift focus from IranIsrael's uraniumown enrichmentnuclear activities.

Iran's unsubstantiated claims represent desperate propaganda designed to deflect from its own nuclear violations and upcoming international censure. The timing coincides suspiciously with IAEA meetings and failed nuclear negotiations, suggesting a calculated disinformation campaign. Without evidence or Israeli acknowledgment, these assertions appear to be fabricated attempts to shift focus from Iran's uranium enrichment activities.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 53% chance that Iran will possess a nuclear weapon before 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Iran successfully penetrated Israel's most sensitive nuclear secrets, exposing the hypocrisy of a regime that possesses undeclared atomic weapons while criticizing others. This intelligence coup demonstrates Iran's sophisticated capabilities and reveals Israel's vulnerability despite its advanced security apparatus. The timing perfectly counters Western pressure on Iran's nuclear program by highlighting Israel's own nuclear activities.


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All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0