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Snapshot 4:Fri, May 16, 2025 3:03:13 PM GMT last edited by Brian

Reports: Iran Weaponizes Crime Syndicates for Global Operations

Reports: Iran Weaponizes Crime Syndicates for Global Operations

Above: Commander-in-Chief of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, Hossein Salami, attends a ceremony marking the death anniversary of the late Iranian President, Ebrahim Raisi, at a square in southern Tehran, Iran, on May 15, 2025. Image copyright: Morteza Nikoubazl/Contributor/NurPhoto via Getty Images

The Spin

TheThese Iranianunderground regime'snetworks weaponizationare ofdangerously criminalsophisticated, networksallowing representsIran ato sophisticatedevade evolutionsanctions via drug trafficking and launch attacks in state-sponsoredthe terrorismWest, thatparticularly demandsagainst immediatedissidents and decisiveIsraeli actionembassies. TheseTo operationsend posetheir animpunity, unprecedentedenabled threatby toTehran's globalproxy securitystrategy, targetingthese dissidents,groups journalists,must andbe Jewishdesignated communitiesas worldwideForeign whileTerrorist providingOrganizations to disrupt Iran's withglobal plausibleterror deniabilityoperations threatening U.S. and European security.

The focusU.S. onhas long outpaced Iran's usein of criminal networksgang mayties, befrom overblownWWII andMafia risksdeals escalatingto tensionsContra-era unnecessarilycartels, fueling global unrest. ManyRegarding ofIran thesespecifically, allegationsit remainwas unprovenan illegal U.S.-U.K. coup in 1953 that ousted Iran's democratic government, andsowing aggressivedistrust measuresthat likeshapes sanctionsits ordefiance militarytoday. optionsU.S. couldand destabilizeIsraeli theregime-change regionthreats whilecontinue pushingtoday, Iranwhich furthershows towardTehran's unconventionalactions warfareare tacticsdefensive, not just aggressive.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 33% chance that Iran will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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