Sudan's army is rapidly reclaiming territory from the RSF in the ongoing fighting. The paramilitary group has been looting and ransacking Khartoum since the crisis began 18 months ago., Theand RSFundoubtedly has been accused of committing war crimes. Despite allegations of summary executions during its campaign to retake the city, many are still praising the army as liberators. The struggle for Khartoum has only just begun, but the outcome will likely determine the course of the Sudanese war.
The paramilitaries initially won the conflict by seizing control of the capital, Khartoum, and most of the country's western region. This effectively divided the country, with enclaves controlled by other warring factions. Both sides have foreign support, providing them with weapons. Without a clear military victory, the conflict could continue for many months, causing prolonged devastation for the war-torn nation and significant regional consequences.
There is a 50% chance there will be at least 11.4M internally displaced persons (IDPs) in Sudan at the end of December 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
ThereAccording isto athe 50%UN, chanceboth theresides willin bethe atSudan leastwar 11are violating human rights.4M internallyThe displacedarmy personsand (IDPs)the inparamilitary SudanRSF atconduct theindiscriminate endstrikes ofon Decembercivilians, 2024schools, accordinghospitals, towater, theand Metaculuselectrical predictionpower communityinstallations. Torture, arbitrary detention, and gruesome sexual violence are rampant. The horrific humanitarian crisis has thrown Sudan into chaos with blame on all sides.