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Algeria Announces Launch of Trans-Saharan Gas Pipeline Across Niger

Is Algeria leveraging instability to pressure Niger, or is the trans-Saharan gas pipeline a genuine path to shared prosperity and energy independence?
Algeria Announces Launch of Trans-Saharan Gas Pipeline Across Niger
Above: The work of the 4th ministerial meeting of the steering committee of the Trans-Saharan Gas Pipeline project with the participation of the Ministers of Energy and Petroleum of Algeria, Niger, and Nigeria, in Algiers, Algeria, Feb. 11, 2025. Image credit: APP/NurPhoto/Getty Images

The Spin

Government-critical narrative

Algeria’s recent moves in the Sahel show it can't be taken at face value, despite its diplomatic posture on security and energy cooperation. What is framed as coordination increasingly looks like leverage over Niger's gas infrastructure and political alignment. Pressure along Niger's borders suggests instability is being instrumentalized to revive a disputed pipeline deal. With the Islamic State group's airport strike destroying military aircraft, external pressure and jihadist violence are converging — and Niger's sovereignty is under strain.

Pro-government narrative

The trans-Saharan gas pipeline represents Africa's path toward energy independence and continental integration, not coercion. Algeria and Niger's diplomatic reset shows how economic cooperation can ease tensions when mutual benefits align with national interests. The $13 billion project will transport up to 30 billion cubic meters annually to European markets while generating revenue for Niger through ownership stakes and transit fees. It demonstrates how regional energy partnerships can turn strategic geography into long-term economic opportunity.

Metaculus Prediction



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Establishment split

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© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.18.0

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0