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Sudanese Army Breaks Two-Year Siege of Key South Kordofan City

Is the SAF forcing RSF militias onto the defensive or resorting to illegal chemical weapons to hold ground?
Sudanese Army Breaks Two-Year Siege of Key South Kordofan City
Above: Sudanese army soldiers parade in the streets of eastern Sudan's city of Gedaref on Aug. 14, 2025. Image credit: AFP/Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-SAF narrative

The Sudanese army has broken the brutal two-year siege of Dilling, restoring vital supply lines and ending a humanitarian catastrophe that had pushed civilians to the brink of starvation. After decisive military operations, SAF forces expelled RSF militias and their mercenary allies, reopening access routes for civilians and humanitarian aid. The breakthrough marks a setback for RSF pressure in South Kordofan and restores state control over a strategically key area.

Pro-RSF narrative

As the SAF claims to have broken the siege of Dilling, RSF forces continue to stretch the army across multiple fronts. Coordinated attacks in Blue Nile state have forced the military to divert attention from key battlegrounds, exposing its limited capacity to hold territory. At the same time, mounting evidence suggests the terrorist SAF has used chlorine gas against RSF positions near Khartoum, causing severe respiratory injuries and violating international law — reinforcing claims that the army is compensating for battlefield pressure through banned tactics.

Metaculus Prediction


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Establishment split

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© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.18.0

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0