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German Chancellor Merz Visits China

Is Germany's China engagement a strategic disaster or pragmatic economic necessity?
German Chancellor Merz Visits China
Above: Federal Chancellor Friedrich Merz and President of China Xi Jinping in Peking, China, on Feb. 25. Image credit: Michael Kappeler/Picture Alliance/Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

Germany's cozy relationship with China has become a strategic disaster comparable to its failed energy dependence on Russia. Despite tough rhetoric from Merz about fair competition and supporting Taiwan, German multinationals continue doubling down on Chinese investments while subsidized Chinese products flood European markets and destroy the Mittelstand. The new government talks tough but lacks the political will to impose tariffs or reduce economic dependency, risking Germany's economic future.

Pro-China narrative

Merz's visit to China represents a pragmatic reset that recognizes economic reality over ideological posturing. China is once again becoming Germany's largest trading partner, while 93% of German firms plan to maintain or expand their Chinese presence. Rather than following America's erratic unilateralism, Germany should seize concrete cooperation opportunities with a reliable economic partner.

Metaculus Prediction



The Controversies



Go Deeper


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO



© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.18.0

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0