Claims
Mark Kruger"As the economy recovered, emissions continued to rise and then reached new highs. However, Carbon Brief believes that the peak realized in March 2024 will be unsurpassed as a result of a structural increase in clean energy supply."Jul 15, 2025
Carbon Brief"For the first time, the projections in the gap report suggest that China will see its emissions peak in 2025, followed by a reduction in emissions of 0.3-1.4GtCO2e by 2030. "Nov 05, 2025
AFP"About 71% of the surveyed experts believe China’s carbon-emission peak will “happen between 2026 and 2030, with most expecting it in 2028” – ahead of the official timeline of 2030."Nov 13, 2025
Al Jazeera"Seven in 10 experts said they expected emissions to peak by the end of the decade with 2028 chosen as the likely peak year by the greatest number of respondents."Nov 06, 2025
Zhu Guangyao“It’s most likely China will realize the peak of carbon emissions a few years before 2030.”May 29, 2025
Mark Kruger"Between 2025 and 2060, the early peaking of China’s emissions saves 57 billion tonnes of carbon dioxide relative to the alternative scenario."Jul 15, 2025
David Fishman"Regardless of whether it's a peak or a plateau, I don't see the structural conditions in place for meaningful (emissions) decline between now and the official peak (target) in 2030."Feb 10, 2026
CREA"The proportion of experts who believe that China’s CO₂ emissions have already peaked or will peak by 2025 has increased significantly, rising from 15% in 2022 to 21% in 2023, and reaching 44% in 2024."Dec 02, 2025
CREA"Although emissions have fallen since March 2024, experts are less certain that China will peak in 2025, expecting a peak later in 2028. "Nov 07, 2025
Lauri Myllyvirta"It would also indicate that the government confirms the recent trends in China’s emission trajectory, suggesting that China’s emissions are likely to peak in 2025. "Oct 01, 2025
Li Shuo"There is also mounting evidence that the country's emissions are plateauing, with this year's levels expected to be lower than in 2024."Sep 24, 2025
Renewable Matter"If the trend proves consistent, China will be able to say that it has reached peak emissions well ahead of the 2030 forecast, which will greatly benefit global climate action."May 28, 2025
© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.18.0
© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.
All rights reserved.
Version 6.18.0