2025 Was the Third Hottest Year on Record
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Report: 2025 Was Third Warmest Year on Record
Are climate models exaggerated schemes causing harm, or is Earth facing urgent breakdown that requires rapid action?
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The Spin
Climate-skeptic narrative
Climate forecasting has systematically overpredicted warming for three decades while demanding massive economic sacrifices that kill people through energy scarcity and higher costs. The entire agenda functions as a money laundering scheme, replacing fossil fuel profits with government-subsidized renewable investments that enrich corporations while ignoring that Earth remains far colder than historical norms.
Climate-concerned narrative
The 1.5°C threshold has been breached over three years, driven by rising greenhouse gas levels, marking a dangerous climate breakdown that threatens food systems, water supplies and human civilization itself. Rapid fossil fuel elimination remains urgent as extreme weather escalates, yet progress remains devastatingly slow despite renewable energy offering economic benefits and energy security.
Optimist narrative
Climate change is real, but it is manageable through innovation and human progress. The focus should be on improving lives, not fear. Advances in renewables, electric vehicles, and nuclear energy have already cut projected emissions by over 40%. Lowering the Green Premium and investing in affordable zero-carbon technologies can help the world adapt and thrive while continuing the progress already underway.
Narrative D
The science of climate is evolving as rapidly as the climate itself. Traditional models that focused narrowly on carbon now struggle to explain complex processes such as the water cycle, forests' roles, and biosphere feedbacks. Emphasis should be on a biosphere-centered understanding in which forests and moisture dynamics shape climate stability as much as greenhouse gases — reshaping how we study and address global change.
Metaculus Prediction
Public Figures
The Controversies
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© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.18.0
© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.
All rights reserved.
Version 6.18.0