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Overshooting 1.5°C Climate Target Now 'Inevitable,' Says UN Chief

Overshooting 1.5°C Climate Target Now 'Inevitable,' Says UN Chief
Above: U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres speaks at a news conference on Oct. 9, 2025 in New York City. Image copyright: Wang Fan/China News Service/VCG/Getty Images

The Spin

Climate-concerned narrative

The climate crisis has reached a point of no return with devastating consequences now inevitable. Global warming is pushing the planet to the brink as every one of the last 10 years has been the hottest in recorded history. The 1.5°C threshold will certainly be overshot, triggering catastrophic impacts including floods, fires, heatwaves and the destruction of marine ecosystems.

Climate-skeptic narrative

Assertions about the causes and solutions for an exaggerated climate crisis demand scrutiny. Instances of climate change are often overstated as tipping points even though the environment has adapted to past environmental shifts, and human interventions. Economic growth fuels innovation to mitigate impacts, while alarmist narratives exaggerate irreversible damage.

Optimist narrative

While the 1.5°C target faces temporary overshoot, returning to this goal by century's end remains achievable with immediate course correction. The focus must shift to making any overshoot as brief and minimal as possible to avoid tipping points, but it can still be done.

Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures


The Controversies



Go Deeper



© 2025 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.17.0

© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.17.0