White British people aren’t under threat from multicultural Britain – they are part of it | Kieran Connell
GuardianJAN 6
Report: White British to Become UK Minority by 2063
Above: A veteran sells Union Jack flags near the Guildhall on November 9, 2024, in London, England. Image copyright: Richard Baker/Contributor/In Pictures via Getty Images
The Spin
Right narrative
Britain stands at a demographic crossroads, with White Britons projected to become a minority within decades — a transformation unprecedented in speed and scale. Without honest debate about immigration's trajectory, Britain risks sleepwalking into a future its people never consciously chose, potentially fracturing the social fabric that binds communities together.
Left narrative
Goodwin — now better known as a right-wing political commentator and GB News contributor than an academic — has traded scholarly rigor for populist scaremongering. His "White Britons as minority" prophecy ignores the fluid, evolving nature of British identity — reducing complex human stories to crude racial arithmetic. Britain's strength has always emerged from cultural fusion, and Goodwin's dystopian math reveals more about his own anxieties than Britain's future.
Metaculus Prediction
Editor's Note
This story currently has limited reporting from left-leaning sources. We will continue to monitor all major outlets and update our coverage as additional perspectives become available.