Study: Humans Surpassed AI Models in Planning and Prediction Tasks
The Spin
Techno-skeptic narrative
This benchmark study just shattered the AI hype bubble by revealing what experts suspected all along — current AI models are sophisticated pattern-matching machines, not true intelligence. When tested against 517 humans on tasks requiring genuine world understanding, every top AI model got crushed, proving they can't build internal models of reality or adapt strategically like humans do.
Techno-optimist narrative
AI consistently outperforms humans across critical domains from health care diagnostics to financial trading, as studies show superior creativity scores and problem-solving capabilities. While humans excel in specific contexts requiring intuition, AI's unparalleled data processing speed and freedom from cognitive biases make it the superior decision-maker for most real-world applications.
Metaculus Prediction
The Controversies
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