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Controversy
Status:Open

Will AI Surpass Human Intelligence, and When?

Elon Musk
Yoshua Bengio
Demis Hassabis
Sam Altman
Dario Amodei
Geoffrey Hinton
Yann LeCun
Gary Marcus
+3
Discuss on
NOT SOONSOON

Claims

Elon Musk
Elon Musk"I'd be surprised if we don't have AGI by [2029]."May 30, 2022
X
X
Sam Altman
Sam Altman"[W]e could get to real AGI in the next decade."Dec 03, 2022
X
X
Demis Hassabis
Demis HassabisWe may achieve "something like AGI or AGI-like in the next decade."Jul 11, 2023
Verge
Verge
Gary Marcus
Gary Marcus"[W]e will eventually reach AGI... and quite possibly before the end of this century."Jan 22, 2023
Substack
Substack
Geoffrey Hinton
Geoffrey HintonCurrent AI like GPT-4 "eclipses a person" in general knowledge and could soon do so in reasoning as well.May 02, 2023
BBC News
BBC News
Elon Musk
Elon MuskAI will likely be "vastly smarter than humans" in "less than five years."Jul 25, 2020
New York Times
New York Times
Geoffrey Hinton
Geoffrey Hinton"[AI] will eventually surpass the abilities of the human brain."Dec 05, 2016
University of Toronto
University of Toronto
Geoffrey Hinton
Geoffrey HintonAI is "very close to it now" and will be "much more intelligent than us in the future."May 02, 2023
MIT Technology Review
MIT Technology Review
Elon Musk
Elon Musk"We will have, for the first time, something that is smarter than the smartest human."Nov 03, 2023
Finance
Finance
Geoffrey Hinton
Geoffrey Hinton"Digital intelligence" could overtake us within "5 to 20 years."May 03, 2023
X
X
Yann LeCun
Yann LeCunSociety is more likely to get "cat-level" or "dog-level" AI years before human-level AI.Dec 03, 2023
CNBC
CNBC
Dario Amodei
Dario Amodei"Human-level" AI could occur in "two or three years."Aug 08, 2023
Dwarkeshpatel
Dwarkeshpatel
+2 More
Yoshua Bengio
Yoshua Bengio"Superhuman AIs" will be achieved "between a few years and a couple of decades."Jul 21, 2023
Economist
Economist
Melanie Mitchell
Melanie Mitchell"We could build a human level intelligence in principle... [but] I think we're quite far away."Aug 14, 2024
Youtu
Youtu
Max Tegmark
Max Tegmark"It's pretty inevitable that [AGI] is going to happen."May 03, 2022
Discover Magazine
Discover Magazine
Elon Musk
Elon Musk"We will be far, far surpassed in every single way [by AI]."Aug 30, 2019
CNBC
CNBC
Sam Altman
Sam AltmanAI could surpass the "expert skill level" in most fields within a decade.May 23, 2023
CBS
CBS
Gary Marcus
Gary Marcus"I don't [think] we are all that close to machines that are more intelligent than us."Oct 10, 2023
Substack
Substack
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