Annual inflation up to 2.2% in the euro area
EuropaOCT 2025
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Rising inflation to 2.2% validates the ECB's cautious approach to monetary policy, with core inflation holding steady and energy price declines moderating naturally. The uptick reinforces that rate cuts remain premature given underlying economic stability.
Underneath seemingly stable monetary policy are a series of trends that should cause concern. Despite headline figures, Europe's industrial production continues to decline while its trade balance faces multiple squeezes. Within these conditions, even a modest rise in inflation could be a serious cause for concern.