Versions :<123456Live

EU Unveils $840B Defense Plan Amid US Aid Uncertainty

EU Unveils $840B Defense Plan Amid US Aid Uncertainty
Above: President Ursula von der Leyen holds a "Defense package" press conference at the EU Commission headquarters in Brussels on March 4, 2025. Image copyright: Nicolas Tucat/Contributor/AFP via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-Europe narrative

Europe must take immediate action to strengthen its defense capabilities and support Ukraine, as the continent faces unprecedented security challenges since it can no longer rely on the US for its defense. The arms build-up requires massive investment in military infrastructure and joint procurement.

Pro-Trump narrative

It's important for European nations to take more of a fair and sizable role in their security. But many European leaders are playing a dangerous game with almost cultish support of Zelenskyy without taking into account the Trump administration's assessment of the conflict. America's patience and resources are limited when it comes to European intransigence — it may be time for the US to pivot to other areas of the world.

Metaculus Prediction



The Controversies



Go Deeper


Articles on this story

Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters
Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters

Sign Up!
Sign Up Now!