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US Strikes Islamic State Group Targets in Central Syria

US Strikes Islamic State Group Targets in Central Syria
Above: Smoke billows after anti-government forces ransacked government security facilities, in Damascus, on Dec. 8, 2024. Image copyright: Rami al SAYED/Contributor/AFP via Getty images

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

The US must remain engaged in Syria to prevent IS' dangerous resurgence, safeguard chemical weapons, and support a potential democratic transition. With IS launching over 500 attacks in 2024 and rebuilding its capabilities in the Syrian desert, coupled with ongoing humanitarian challenges and regional instability, American strategic presence remains critical to preventing extremist groups from exploiting the power vacuum left by Assad's fall.

Narrative B

While Syria's complexities are profound, the US has limited strategic value in prolonging its military presence. The region's intricate tribal and volatile dynamics resist external intervention, and continued American military engagement risks further destabilization. With IS significantly weakened and regional powers like Iran and Russia already deeply entrenched, the US would be wise to minimize its footprint and avoid potential escalation of tensions.

Metaculus Prediction



The Controversies



Go Deeper


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